Latest signal:
HOG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2023-12-27
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HOG alerts reach +4.49% profit potential within 104 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.23%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.66x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, HOG typically reaches +4.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS
How HOG compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HOG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-27 | 09:25:00 | $36.63 | +0.25% | +0.76% | +0.85% | +1.04% | +1.39% | +2.10% | +0.13% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-07-27 | 09:27:00 | $38.53 | -0.05% | +1.74% | +1.13% | +2.88% | -2.15% | +4.57% | -1.25% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-26 | 09:25:00 | $40.0 | +0.90% | -0.95% | -0.89% | +0.62% | +4.50% | +5.92% | -1.75% | +0.40% | WIN |
| 2022-07-28 | 09:25:00 | $36.64 | -0.05% | +1.01% | +0.93% | +0.44% | +0.87% | +3.11% | -0.38% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-19 | 09:25:00 | $32.71 | -2.69% | +0.60% | +1.25% | +1.07% | -0.86% | +3.73% | -3.21% | -2.54% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $38.86 | +1.92% | +0.08% | +2.93% | +4.71% | +7.39% | +7.49% | -0.90% | +2.88% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HOG
The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HOG's performance to 75%+.
Optimize HOG Strategy →Why Analyze HOG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOG historically offers an average upside of +4.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HOG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HOG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HOG performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.79%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.