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HOLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 01, 1990 🔗 www.hologic.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.75B 👥 Employees: 7,070
Hologic manufactures proprietary products for the healthcare needs of women. The company operates in four segments: diagnostics (44% of total sales), breast health (38%), surgical (16%), and skeletal health (2%). While the company traditionally focused on breast health, the acquisition of Gen-Probe put greater emphasis on commercial diagnostics. The United States accounts for the largest portion of the firm's revenue (69%), followed by Europe (20%), Asia (8%), and other international markets (3%). Hologic is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
56.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +2.05%
Worst: -1.35%
Trades: 7/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 9/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -1.56%
Trades: 8/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 8/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 8/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.09%
Best MFE: +2.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, HOLX alerts reach +1.09% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.32%
Worst MAE: -1.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, HOLX typically reaches +1.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 56.2%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +2.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: X-RAY APPARATUS & TUBES & RELATED IRRADIATION APPARATUS

How HOLX compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOLX: +0.04% Sector: +0.40% -0.36%
EOD Gain
HOLX: +0.03% Sector: +0.39% -0.37%
Avg MFE
HOLX: +1.09% Sector: +4.48% -3.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:25:51 $79.0 -0.36% -0.96% -1.56% -1.11% -1.94% -0.03% -0.30% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:29:03 $79.9 -0.51% -0.38% -0.58% -0.73% -0.50% -0.24% -0.88% -0.63% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:11 $79.73 +0.26% -0.23% -0.70% -0.90% -0.92% +0.56% -0.11% +0.34% WIN
2024-11-04 09:26:46 $82.75 +0.65% +0.85% +1.32% +1.78% +1.17% +1.98% -0.11% +0.06% WIN
2024-09-26 09:28:41 $79.86 -0.34% +0.01% +0.64% +0.29% +0.30% +0.83% -0.58% -0.14% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:29:58 $76.33 -1.32% -0.93% -1.22% -1.27% -1.30% -0.01% -1.66% -0.93% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:27:00 $72.81 -0.49% -0.34% -0.66% -0.21% -0.25% +0.30% -1.07% -0.99% LOSS
2023-10-10 09:27:00 $70.25 +0.53% +0.26% +0.28% +0.77% +0.74% +1.19% +0.10% +0.54% WIN
2023-07-28 09:26:00 $79.19 +1.93% +1.74% +1.34% +0.91% +1.89% +2.40% +1.69% +2.39% WIN
2023-07-21 09:29:00 $79.3 +0.62% +1.58% +1.61% +2.21% +1.99% +2.88% -0.05% +0.52% WIN
2022-10-12 09:25:00 $61.95 -0.10% -0.48% -0.10% -0.24% -1.58% +0.24% -0.26% +0.05% LOSS
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $70.28 -1.35% -1.29% -0.98% -1.05% +0.30% +1.01% -1.72% -1.38% LOSS
2022-06-09 09:25:00 $74.66 +0.47% +0.05% +0.39% -0.09% -1.31% +1.04% - +0.76% WIN
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $70.85 +2.05% +1.60% +1.54% +0.02% +0.45% +2.12% +1.50% +1.96% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $72.98 -0.08% +0.43% +0.81% +1.03% +1.45% +1.74% -0.29% +0.27% LOSS
2022-01-06 09:25:00 $70.77 -1.27% +0.45% -0.14% +0.86% -0.10% +1.47% -1.37% -0.66% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.2% Baseline on HOLX

The 56.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HOLX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HOLX Strategy →

Why Analyze HOLX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOLX historically offers an average upside of +1.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, HOLX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HOLX performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.