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HON Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HON alerts reach +1.18% profit potential within 115 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, HON typically reaches +1.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS
How HON compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:35 | $216.5 | -1.60% | -1.76% | -1.61% | -2.48% | -3.09% | -0.23% | -0.44% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-27 | 09:27:22 | $230.31 | +0.19% | +0.49% | +0.42% | +0.08% | -0.35% | +0.54% | +0.04% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:28:37 | $232.95 | -0.86% | -0.59% | -0.16% | +0.42% | +1.31% | +2.14% | -1.20% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:26:41 | $240.37 | -0.83% | -1.40% | -1.87% | -1.74% | -2.69% | +1.00% | -0.99% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-08 | 09:28:01 | $217.75 | -0.52% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.80% | +0.90% | -0.57% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:29:18 | $199.4 | -1.94% | -2.33% | -3.10% | -3.31% | -3.20% | +0.37% | -0.95% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:27:00 | $187.25 | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.31% | +0.44% | -0.68% | +0.52% | -0.04% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:28:00 | $193.4 | -0.01% | -0.26% | +0.56% | -0.57% | -0.16% | +0.95% | -0.59% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-02 | 09:28:00 | $198.99 | +0.24% | +0.60% | +1.06% | +1.44% | +4.22% | +4.64% | -0.65% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2023-01-24 | 09:27:00 | $204.0 | -0.54% | -0.53% | -0.50% | +0.01% | +1.44% | +1.80% | -0.87% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-23 | 09:25:00 | $218.57 | +0.08% | +0.28% | +0.79% | +0.74% | +0.16% | +0.96% | -0.05% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2022-11-14 | 09:25:00 | $212.5 | -0.13% | +0.86% | +0.65% | +0.84% | +0.24% | +1.68% | -0.32% | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-11 | 09:25:00 | $213.8 | +0.37% | -0.18% | -0.28% | -0.17% | -0.50% | +0.54% | - | +0.37% | WIN |
| 2022-10-27 | 09:25:00 | $191.9 | +0.70% | +3.32% | +2.41% | +3.28% | +2.39% | +4.00% | -0.20% | +0.76% | WIN |
| 2022-08-10 | 09:25:00 | $197.66 | -0.56% | -0.26% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.22% | +0.33% | -0.62% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-09 | 09:25:00 | $193.97 | -0.19% | +0.12% | +0.19% | +0.35% | +0.06% | +0.48% | -0.29% | +0.31% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-29 | 09:25:00 | $189.19 | +0.89% | +0.67% | +0.53% | +1.02% | +1.73% | +2.08% | -0.17% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2022-06-28 | 09:25:00 | $179.81 | -0.38% | +0.75% | +0.41% | -0.48% | -2.15% | +0.92% | -0.50% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-20 | 09:25:00 | $193.8 | +0.03% | -0.57% | -0.93% | -1.26% | -2.09% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2022-04-29 | 09:25:00 | $199.56 | +0.86% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -1.42% | -3.03% | +1.22% | -2.29% | +0.32% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HON Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 59.3% win rate, HON has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HON profitable.
🔧 Fix HON Risk/Reward →Why Analyze HON with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HON historically offers an average upside of +1.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HON Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 59.3%, HON shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.08%) outweigh average wins (+0.66%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HON shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.05%). This suggests HON is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.