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HPE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 75 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (75 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT (SIC 3570)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 19, 2015 🔗 www.hpe.com
💰 Market Cap: $28.09B 👥 Employees: 67,000
Hewlett Packard Enterprise is an information technology vendor that provides hardware and software to enterprises. Its primary product lines are compute servers, storage arrays, and networking equipment; it also has a high-performance computing business. HPE's stated goal is to be a complete edge-to-cloud company. Its portfolio enables hybrid clouds and hyperconverged infrastructure.
📊
75
Total Alerts
🎯
50.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 34/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +5.42%
Worst: -6.70%
Trades: 37/38

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +6.49%
Worst: -6.69%
Trades: 30/44

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +8.94%
Worst: -5.83%
Trades: 32/43

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.7%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.26%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +7.66%
Worst: -6.70%
Trades: 38/36

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.95%
Best MFE: +9.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, HPE alerts reach +1.95% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -3.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, HPE typically reaches +1.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 75
Gap Up % 50.7%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT

How HPE compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HPE: -0.04% Sector: +0.10% -0.14%
EOD Gain
HPE: +0.20% Sector: +0.36% -0.17%
Avg MFE
HPE: +1.95% Sector: +1.99% -0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HPE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:26:06 $23.0 -1.28% -6.70% -6.69% -5.83% -6.70% +0.17% -0.91% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:57 $23.37 -0.45% -1.60% -0.64% -1.37% -1.80% +0.43% -0.56% -0.47% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:05 $21.67 -1.25% -0.74% -0.30% -0.12% +1.43% +1.52% -2.33% -0.60% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:28:18 $22.91 +0.22% -0.02% -0.39% -0.48% -2.75% +0.61% +0.04% +0.61% WIN
2024-12-19 09:28:00 $21.07 -0.22% +0.19% -0.30% -0.66% -0.85% +0.62% -0.10% +0.09% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:28:19 $21.91 -1.64% -3.10% -1.94% -1.41% - +0.41% -3.22% -0.37% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:27:06 $22.51 +2.60% +5.42% +3.42% +5.33% +6.40% +7.69% -0.22% +0.75% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:38 $22.48 -1.02% -1.33% -1.09% -1.49% -3.69% +1.16% -0.04% +0.53% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:28:49 $21.48 -0.88% -1.12% -0.23% -1.68% -3.17% -0.14% -2.05% -1.68% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:35 $21.69 -0.41% -1.63% -0.51% +0.39% -1.43% +0.78% -0.05% +0.55% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:02 $20.74 +0.19% +1.98% +0.72% +1.25% +2.84% +3.13% -0.29% -0.05% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:40 $19.69 -0.20% +1.50% +1.68% +2.01% +1.88% +2.82% -0.91% -0.69% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:29:45 $20.23 -1.26% -1.19% -1.53% -2.13% -3.66% +0.05% -0.30% -0.20% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:28:32 $20.95 -2.17% -3.25% -1.67% -1.72% -2.91% +0.48% -0.29% - LOSS
2024-10-28 09:27:50 $19.58 +0.18% -0.10% +0.84% +0.79% +0.77% +1.53% -0.51% +0.08% WIN
2024-10-25 09:28:06 $19.56 +0.64% +0.66% +0.87% +1.23% -0.51% +1.53% +0.05% +0.10% WIN
2024-10-17 09:27:00 $20.99 -0.92% -0.92% -0.98% -0.48% -0.24% +0.05% -0.67% -0.81% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:29:42 $20.95 -0.50% +0.10% +0.36% +0.02% +0.10% +0.48% -0.91% +0.05% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:28:50 $20.63 -0.05% -0.17% -0.73% -0.87% -0.05% +0.58% +0.22% +0.29% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:11 $20.25 +0.29% +0.69% +0.52% +0.47% +0.49% +1.19% -0.44% -0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.7% Baseline on HPE

The 50.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HPE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HPE Strategy →

Why Analyze HPE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HPE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HPE historically offers an average upside of +1.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HPE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.7%, HPE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HPE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.