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HPQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 47 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2024-11-27

⚠️ Small sample size (47 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 06, 1957 🔗 www.hp.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.84B 👥 Employees: 55,000
HP (formerly Hewlett-Packard) is a behemoth in the PC and printing markets. It has focused on these markets since it exited IT infrastructure in 2015 with the split from Hewlett Packard Enterprise. HP focuses on the commercial market, but maintains sales of consumer devices and printers. The firm has a broad and global customer base, with only one third of sales coming from the US. HP completely outsources manufacturing and relies heavily on channel partners for its sales and marketing.
📊
47
Total Alerts
🎯
68.1%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.58%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.8%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 30/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 68.1%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 32/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 68.1%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +6.29%
Worst: -6.00%
Trades: 32/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 59.6%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +8.06%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 28/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.3%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +12.16%
Worst: -5.69%
Trades: 26/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.30%
Best MFE: +15.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, HPQ alerts reach +2.30% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -3.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 47 alerts, HPQ typically reaches +2.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 47
Gap Up % 59.6%
Avg Gap +0.16%
Best Gap +2.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT

How HPQ compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HPQ: +0.34% Sector: +0.10% +0.24%
EOD Gain
HPQ: +0.44% Sector: +0.36% +0.07%
Avg MFE
HPQ: +2.30% Sector: +1.99% +0.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HPQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-27 09:25:29 $36.75 +0.35% -3.87% -4.22% -6.24% -5.69% +2.04% -1.39% -0.52% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:47 $35.59 +0.15% +1.49% +1.90% +2.37% +1.94% +2.77% -0.29% -0.28% WIN
2024-05-31 09:27:37 $37.66 -3.03% -4.09% -6.00% -6.05% -3.08% +0.11% -0.98% -0.19% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:26:55 $34.2 +3.51% +5.07% +6.29% +8.06% +12.16% +15.56% -0.29% +0.58% WIN
2024-03-05 09:25:30 $28.93 -0.02% +0.14% +0.92% +0.52% +0.69% +1.80% -0.21% +0.17% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:29:35 $29.57 -1.56% -0.86% -0.98% -0.54% -1.72% +0.08% -1.96% -0.74% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:25:02 $28.93 +0.91% +0.35% +0.24% +1.45% +1.66% +2.42% -0.14% +0.24% WIN
2024-02-29 09:29:28 $27.9 +3.76% +2.08% +0.90% +1.24% +1.54% +4.19% -0.87% -0.14% WIN
2024-02-05 09:26:42 $28.6 -0.15% -0.73% -1.00% -1.42% -0.94% -0.04% -0.28% -0.10% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:28:00 $29.63 +1.62% +1.15% +1.62% +1.75% +2.50% +3.14% -0.10% +0.91% WIN
2023-12-05 09:29:00 $28.84 +0.28% +0.02% +0.47% +0.69% +0.07% +1.10% -0.03% +0.28% WIN
2023-11-22 09:28:00 $28.36 +2.33% +3.09% +1.97% +3.10% +1.06% +3.29% -1.66% +0.35% WIN
2023-11-13 09:28:00 $27.83 -0.54% -0.25% -0.11% +0.29% -0.18% +0.56% -0.75% -0.25% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $27.24 -0.61% - -0.22% -0.28% +1.40% +1.40% -0.79% -0.26% LOSS
2023-10-04 09:29:00 $26.14 +0.08% -0.23% -0.61% -1.17% -0.38% +0.29% -0.19% +0.29% WIN
2023-10-03 09:28:00 $26.22 -0.11% +0.88% +1.09% +0.02% -0.34% +1.49% -0.57% -0.31% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:25:00 $25.58 +0.55% +1.19% +1.00% +1.29% +0.35% +1.78% +0.16% +0.23% WIN
2023-09-28 09:28:00 $25.06 +1.16% +1.80% +2.37% +2.65% +2.04% +3.05% -0.44% +0.96% WIN
2023-09-25 09:27:00 $26.13 +2.37% +2.41% +2.62% +2.20% +0.65% +3.02% -0.54% +0.19% WIN
2023-09-22 09:29:00 $26.9 +0.22% -0.17% -0.30% -0.15% -0.48% +0.59% -0.07% +0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 68.1% Baseline on HPQ

The 68.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HPQ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HPQ Strategy →

Why Analyze HPQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HPQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HPQ historically offers an average upside of +2.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HPQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 68.1%, HPQ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HPQ performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.