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HQY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-13 → 2023-03-13

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2014 🔗 www.healthequity.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.19B 👥 Employees: 3,120
HealthEquity Inc provides solutions that allow consumers to make healthcare saving and spending decisions. It provides payment processing services, personalized benefit information, the ability to earn wellness incentives, and investment advice to grow their tax-advantaged healthcare savings. It manages consumers' tax-advantaged health savings accounts (HSAs) and other consumer-directed benefits (CDBs) offered by employers, including flexible spending accounts and health reimbursement arrangements (FSAs and HRAs), and administers Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (COBRA), commuter and other benefits. It also provides investment advisory services to customers whose account balances exceed a certain threshold. HealthEquity generates its revenue in the United States.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.70%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: -4.70%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.88%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.88%
Best: -5.88%
Worst: -5.88%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.45%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.45%
Best: -4.45%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.71%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.71%
Best: -5.71%
Worst: -5.71%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.89%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.89%
Best: -10.89%
Worst: -10.89%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.51%
Best MFE: +1.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 2 min

On average, HQY alerts reach +1.51% profit potential within 2 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.05%
Worst MAE: -1.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, HQY typically reaches +1.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.42%
Best Gap -0.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How HQY compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HQY: -4.70% Sector: -0.05% -4.65%
EOD Gain
HQY: -10.89% Sector: +1758.96% -1769.85%
Avg MFE
HQY: +1.51% Sector: +2.89% -1.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HQY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-13 09:28:00 $58.85 -4.70% -5.88% -4.45% -5.71% -10.89% +1.51% -1.05% -0.42% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HQY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.70% average gain, HQY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HQY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HQY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HQY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HQY historically offers an average upside of +1.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HQY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, HQY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HQY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HQY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.70%). This suggests HQY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.