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HRTG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-03 → 2024-10-07
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HRTG alerts reach +5.55% profit potential within 207 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.13%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, HRTG typically reaches +5.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
How HRTG compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HRTG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 09:29:43 | $10.5 | -4.67% | -5.33% | -10.33% | -12.76% | -11.05% | +1.14% | +0.67% | +1.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-12 | 09:28:37 | $8.87 | -5.47% | -6.65% | -7.55% | -6.54% | +0.90% | +2.82% | -9.81% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:27:00 | $6.73 | +1.04% | +0.89% | +0.30% | -1.49% | -3.27% | +2.53% | -0.30% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:26:00 | $5.7 | +1.23% | +1.05% | +3.16% | +5.26% | +7.54% | +11.75% | -1.40% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2023-03-03 | 09:27:00 | $3.37 | -2.97% | +1.30% | -4.16% | -5.04% | +8.01% | +9.50% | -9.79% | -4.15% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HRTG Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, HRTG has -1.75% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HRTG profitable.
🔧 Fix HRTG Risk/Reward →Why Analyze HRTG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HRTG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HRTG historically offers an average upside of +5.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HRTG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, HRTG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.99%) outweigh average wins (+1.08%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HRTG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.75%). This suggests HRTG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.