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HSBC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 107 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-16

🏢 Company Profile

HSBC Holdings PLC
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 11, 1995 🔗 www.hsbc.com
💰 Market Cap: $292.13B 👥 Employees: 212,409
Established in 1865 in Hong Kong, London-based HSBC is one of the largest banks in the world, with assets of USD 3 trillion and over 40 million customers worldwide. It operates in more than 50 countries with more than 200,000 full-time staff. The United Kingdom and Hong Kong are its two largest markets. The bank offers retail, commercial and institutional banking, global banking and markets, wealth management, and private banking.
📊
107
Total Alerts
🎯
47.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 51/52

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 46/61

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -1.79%
Trades: 47/57

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.33%
Worst: -2.09%
Trades: 46/58

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +3.82%
Worst: -2.74%
Trades: 46/60

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.74%
Best MFE: +3.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, HSBC alerts reach +0.74% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -2.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.87:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 107 alerts, HSBC typically reaches +0.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 107
Gap Up % 39.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HSBC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:28:08 $50.35 +0.15% +0.36% +0.30% +0.02% +0.91% +0.91% -0.15% -0.06% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:08 $49.9 -0.30% -0.30% +0.04% -0.11% +0.28% +0.35% -0.77% +0.10% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:26:08 $46.9 -0.13% +0.15% +0.60% +0.75% -0.98% +0.78% -0.41% -0.30% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:29:50 $45.43 -0.10% -0.20% -0.44% -0.33% -0.46% +0.11% -0.11% +0.04% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:29:05 $43.35 -0.42% -0.51% -0.70% -1.11% -0.69% +0.16% -0.16% - LOSS
2024-08-01 09:27:36 $42.92 +0.12% -0.24% -0.63% -1.33% -1.07% +0.21% -0.05% +0.02% WIN
2024-07-29 09:28:27 $43.38 +0.02% -0.07% -0.20% -0.28% -0.18% +0.14% +0.05% +0.05% WIN
2024-04-29 09:25:55 $42.23 -0.17% -0.24% -0.07% -0.11% -0.12% +0.27% -0.28% -0.02% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:26:32 $41.02 -0.25% -0.45% -0.35% -1.12% -0.17% +0.09% -1.21% -0.20% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:28:16 $41.6 -0.07% -0.12% -0.18% +0.35% +0.50% +0.64% -0.37% -0.10% LOSS
2024-03-18 09:27:34 $38.66 -0.23% -0.39% -0.39% -0.49% -0.62% +0.13% +0.03% +0.10% LOSS
2024-03-11 09:25:44 $37.03 +0.16% -0.04% +0.04% - +0.27% +0.46% -0.27% - WIN
2024-03-08 09:28:38 $37.54 +0.39% +0.37% +0.21% +0.05% -0.27% +0.48% -0.03% +0.08% WIN
2024-02-29 09:27:50 $39.3 -0.25% -0.29% -0.18% -0.51% -0.31% +0.03% -0.28% -0.10% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:27:02 $38.83 -0.21% -0.06% - +0.03% -0.88% +0.18% -0.28% -0.05% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:28:05 $37.47 -0.21% -0.03% +0.35% +0.35% +0.64% +0.80% -0.36% -0.16% LOSS
2024-02-21 09:25:33 $37.43 -0.03% -0.63% -0.53% +0.01% -0.56% +0.56% -0.85% +0.16% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:26:31 $38.98 -0.19% -0.38% -0.73% -0.63% -0.85% - -0.33% -0.05% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $39.04 -0.10% -0.28% -0.23% -0.08% -1.33% +0.18% -0.36% -0.28% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $37.93 +0.40% +0.16% +0.11% +0.03% +0.26% +0.95% -0.11% -0.08% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HSBC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.7% win rate and -0.03% average gain, HSBC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HSBC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HSBC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HSBC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HSBC historically offers an average upside of +0.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HSBC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.7%, HSBC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HSBC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HSBC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.03%). This suggests HSBC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.