Latest signal:
HSY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HSY alerts reach +0.79% profit potential within 155 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, HSY typically reaches +0.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SUGAR & CONFECTIONERY PRODUCTS
How HSY compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HSY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:12 | $154.0 | +0.58% | +0.36% | -2.09% | -1.01% | -1.08% | +1.75% | +0.01% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:28:53 | $178.47 | +0.92% | -0.24% | -1.30% | -1.93% | -0.82% | +2.66% | -2.35% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-11-08 | 09:27:21 | $172.76 | +0.25% | +0.44% | +0.91% | -0.17% | +1.68% | +1.78% | -0.41% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:27:21 | $188.93 | +0.22% | +0.27% | +0.26% | +0.66% | +0.84% | +1.62% | +0.04% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-03-20 | 09:26:34 | $203.99 | -0.73% | -1.03% | -0.91% | -1.04% | -2.92% | +0.10% | -0.88% | -0.88% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-26 | 09:25:08 | $193.65 | +0.28% | -0.21% | -0.43% | -0.75% | -2.60% | +0.53% | +0.09% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-02-12 | 09:25:28 | $193.11 | -0.21% | -1.08% | -1.03% | -0.30% | +0.32% | +0.78% | -1.82% | -1.61% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-30 | 09:29:00 | $186.05 | -0.49% | -0.94% | -0.61% | -0.01% | +1.01% | +1.12% | -1.00% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:26:00 | $189.01 | -0.23% | -0.27% | -0.08% | -0.15% | -0.01% | +0.28% | -0.58% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-24 | 09:28:00 | $191.62 | -0.10% | -0.45% | -0.88% | -0.37% | +0.03% | +0.67% | +0.67% | +0.57% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:29:00 | $189.14 | -0.07% | -0.13% | +0.17% | +0.55% | +1.24% | +1.50% | -0.34% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-25 | 09:27:00 | $214.5 | +0.48% | +0.57% | +0.14% | +0.21% | +1.31% | +1.62% | +0.07% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2023-08-24 | 09:28:00 | $215.32 | +0.22% | +0.52% | +0.53% | +0.34% | -0.67% | +0.67% | -0.06% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:27:00 | $223.57 | +0.47% | -0.10% | -0.19% | -0.08% | +0.35% | +0.55% | +0.26% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2023-07-21 | 09:29:00 | $245.5 | +0.25% | +0.49% | +0.86% | +1.25% | +0.46% | +1.40% | -0.17% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-07-20 | 09:28:00 | $243.13 | +0.06% | +0.50% | +0.76% | +1.06% | +1.02% | +1.26% | -0.07% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2023-07-18 | 09:29:00 | $239.4 | +0.42% | +0.56% | +0.26% | +0.56% | +0.18% | +1.52% | -0.25% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:25:00 | $262.24 | -0.46% | -0.31% | -0.27% | -0.48% | -1.05% | -0.12% | -0.54% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-02 | 09:28:00 | $257.47 | +0.69% | +1.16% | +0.89% | +1.02% | +1.34% | +1.62% | +0.16% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2023-06-01 | 09:28:00 | $260.41 | -0.28% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.29% | +0.33% | -0.29% | -0.01% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HSY Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.9% win rate, HSY has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HSY profitable.
🔧 Fix HSY Risk/Reward →Why Analyze HSY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HSY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HSY historically offers an average upside of +0.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HSY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, HSY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.98%) outweigh average wins (+0.82%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HSY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.03%). This suggests HSY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.