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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$HSY

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.4% at EOD n=57 2022-01-28 → 2026-09-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 57 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 1947 🔗 www.thehersheycompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $32.19B 👥 Employees: 19,595
Hershey is a leading US confectionery manufacturer (in a $55 billion market, according to Euromonitor), controlling more than 35% of the domestic chocolate aisle. Beyond its namesake label, the firm's portfolio has expanded over the last 85 years and now comprises 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, though only a high-single-digit percentage of sales comes from markets outside the US, including the UK, Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confectionery business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its portfolio, as well as Pirate Brands, Dot's Pretzels, and LesserEvil over the past few years.
Total alerts
57
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
54.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.89%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading HSY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.46%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 29/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +3.17%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 23/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +1.58%
Worst: -2.09%
Trades: 23/34

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 19/38

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +3.46%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 31/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.89%
Best MFE: +4.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, HSY alerts reach +0.89% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.41%
Worst MAE: -2.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, HSY typically reaches +0.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 49.1%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SUGAR & CONFECTIONERY PRODUCTS

How HSY compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HSY: +0.02% Sector: -0.01% +0.03%
EOD Gain
HSY: +0.04% Sector: -0.04% +0.08%
Avg MFE
HSY: +0.89% Sector: +1.31% -0.43%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HSY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $162.0 +0.52% -0.14% +0.08% -0.46% -2.71% +0.70% +0.52% +0.60% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $163.0 +0.04% +0.25% +0.31% -0.11% -0.98% +0.42% -0.55% -0.20% WIN
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $182.85 -0.33% -0.34% +0.19% +0.28% +1.13% +1.94% -0.66% -0.65% LOSS
2026-02-27 09:25:00 $231.1 +0.60% +1.24% +1.25% +1.08% +2.24% +2.46% +0.46% +0.46% WIN
2026-02-24 09:25:00 $228.83 -0.93% -0.35% -0.39% -0.46% +0.60% +0.72% -1.31% -1.31% LOSS
2026-02-05 09:25:00 $216.87 +1.28% +3.17% +1.47% +1.83% +3.46% +4.00% -0.63% +0.91% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:12 $154.0 +0.58% +0.36% -2.09% -1.01% -1.08% +1.75% +0.01% +0.81% WIN
2024-12-11 09:28:53 $178.47 +0.92% -0.24% -1.30% -1.93% -0.82% +2.66% -2.35% +0.10% WIN
2024-11-08 09:27:21 $172.76 +0.25% +0.44% +0.91% -0.17% +1.68% +1.78% -0.41% -0.15% WIN
2024-09-26 09:27:21 $188.93 +0.22% +0.27% +0.26% +0.66% +0.84% +1.62% +0.04% +0.20% WIN
2024-03-20 09:26:34 $203.99 -0.73% -1.03% -0.91% -1.04% -2.92% +0.10% -0.88% -0.88% LOSS
2024-02-26 09:25:08 $193.65 +0.28% -0.21% -0.43% -0.75% -2.60% +0.53% +0.09% +0.15% WIN
2024-02-12 09:25:28 $193.11 -0.21% -1.08% -1.03% -0.30% +0.32% +0.78% -1.82% -1.61% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:29:00 $186.05 -0.49% -0.94% -0.61% -0.01% +1.01% +1.12% -1.00% -0.03% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:26:00 $189.01 -0.23% -0.27% -0.08% -0.15% -0.01% +0.28% -0.58% -0.30% LOSS
2023-11-24 09:28:00 $191.62 -0.10% -0.45% -0.88% -0.37% +0.03% +0.67% +0.67% +0.57% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $189.14 -0.07% -0.13% +0.17% +0.55% +1.24% +1.50% -0.34% -0.11% LOSS
2023-08-25 09:27:00 $214.5 +0.48% +0.57% +0.14% +0.21% +1.31% +1.62% +0.07% +0.30% WIN
2023-08-24 09:28:00 $215.32 +0.22% +0.52% +0.53% +0.34% -0.67% +0.67% -0.06% +0.17% WIN
2023-08-14 09:27:00 $223.57 +0.47% -0.10% -0.19% -0.08% +0.35% +0.55% +0.26% +0.41% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.4% Baseline on HSY

The 54.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push HSY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HSY Strategy →

Why Analyze HSY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HSY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HSY historically offers an average upside of +0.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HSY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.4%, HSY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HSY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.