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HTZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 50 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (50 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Common Stock SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS) (SIC 7510)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 2021 🔗 www.hertz.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.72B 👥 Employees: 26,000
Hertz Global Holdings Inc is engaged principally in the business of renting vehicles through Hertz, Dollar and Thrifty brands. The Company has identified two reportable segments: Americas RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean; International RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in locations other than the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean. The Company maintain a substantial network of company-operated rental locations, a majority of which are in Europe, and have franchisees and partners that operate rental locations under brands. Geographical markets includes U.S., Europe, Pacific Asia, Middle East and Africa, Latin America.
📊
50
Total Alerts
🎯
54.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.54%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +9.72%
Worst: -2.96%
Trades: 27/23

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.31%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +9.21%
Worst: -7.80%
Trades: 24/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.70%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -2.47%
Best: +12.99%
Worst: -9.18%
Trades: 25/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +4.80%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +20.46%
Worst: -15.30%
Trades: 21/29

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.67%
Avg Winner: +5.53%
Avg Loser: -3.83%
Best: +29.93%
Worst: -10.52%
Trades: 24/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.15%
Best MFE: +31.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, HTZ alerts reach +5.15% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.49%
Worst MAE: -8.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 50 alerts, HTZ typically reaches +5.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 50
Gap Up % 38.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +3.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

How HTZ compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HTZ: +0.54% Sector: -0.02% +0.57%
EOD Gain
HTZ: +0.67% Sector: +179.82% -179.16%
Avg MFE
HTZ: +5.15% Sector: +5.77% -0.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HTZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:08 $3.73 +0.25% +4.83% +6.97% +9.65% +4.56% +12.60% -2.14% -2.14% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:13 $3.9 +2.05% +1.67% +2.95% +4.23% +4.62% +7.56% -0.51% - WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:23 $3.68 +3.73% +8.97% +6.39% -2.04% +2.99% +11.41% +0.27% +0.54% WIN
2024-11-12 09:26:46 $3.08 -0.97% -2.44% +1.46% +6.82% +18.83% +21.27% -3.90% -2.60% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:29:39 $3.04 -2.96% -5.26% -6.09% -5.26% -8.55% +0.33% -1.28% - LOSS
2024-10-21 09:25:12 $3.15 -1.11% -0.95% -1.56% -2.70% -5.71% +0.32% -3.17% -0.95% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:27:17 $3.91 +9.72% +5.12% +4.35% +3.20% -3.58% +12.02% +0.26% +2.30% WIN
2024-07-11 09:25:37 $3.49 +3.30% +1.85% +5.16% +4.73% +10.60% +12.32% -0.86% +0.23% WIN
2024-07-08 09:29:18 $3.67 -0.14% +0.68% +0.41% -1.00% -1.91% +2.59% -1.36% -1.36% LOSS
2024-07-05 09:26:08 $3.7 +0.95% +0.41% +0.14% -0.68% -1.62% +3.24% -0.27% - WIN
2024-06-24 09:26:23 $4.15 -1.20% +1.45% +3.25% -1.67% -6.27% +3.86% -1.69% -0.72% LOSS
2024-06-20 09:27:04 $3.17 -2.68% -6.94% -3.00% -5.21% +10.73% +18.93% -8.36% -0.63% LOSS
2024-06-03 09:29:26 $4.34 -2.30% -5.07% -3.67% -5.30% -4.84% +0.81% -3.92% -0.92% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:27:18 $5.9 +7.29% +8.47% +6.96% +10.51% +1.69% +11.95% -0.34% - WIN
2024-05-02 09:28:14 $4.86 +2.67% +1.13% +0.21% +0.31% +2.88% +5.66% -0.93% +0.21% WIN
2024-05-01 09:25:28 $4.53 +1.10% -0.22% -0.66% -2.43% -1.32% +2.10% -2.85% -0.22% WIN
2024-04-26 09:26:57 $4.45 +2.47% +6.85% +8.43% +2.70% -0.67% +8.99% -0.90% -0.45% WIN
2024-04-25 09:27:21 $5.23 -1.34% -4.40% -9.18% -15.30% -10.52% +1.34% -3.25% -1.15% LOSS
2024-04-23 09:25:23 $5.65 +0.53% -2.83% -0.97% -2.39% -3.36% +1.06% -3.54% - WIN
2024-04-04 09:28:25 $7.3 -1.51% -1.12% -1.16% -0.82% -0.68% +0.82% -3.42% -0.41% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.0% Baseline on HTZ

The 54.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HTZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HTZ Strategy →

Why Analyze HTZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HTZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HTZ historically offers an average upside of +5.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HTZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, HTZ shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HTZ performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.54%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.