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HTZWW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2024-05-14

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 2021 🔗 www.hertz.com
👥 Employees: 26,000
Hertz Global Holdings Inc is engaged principally in the business of renting vehicles through Hertz, Dollar and Thrifty brands. The Company has identified two reportable segments: Americas RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean; International RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in locations other than the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean. The Company maintain a substantial network of company-operated rental locations, a majority of which are in Europe, and have franchisees and partners that operate rental locations under brands. Geographical markets includes U.S., Europe, Pacific Asia, Middle East and Africa, Latin America.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+8.33%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+11.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +2.05%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +10.50%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +2.93%
Avg Winner: +3.81%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +7.13%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +5.30%
Avg Winner: +7.30%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +11.72%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +6.38%
Avg Winner: +10.26%
Avg Loser: -5.27%
Best: +19.49%
Worst: -5.27%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +8.33%
Avg Winner: +8.33%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +33.23%
Worst: +1.41%
Trades: 5/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.92%
Best MFE: +34.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 155 min

On average, HTZWW alerts reach +11.92% profit potential within 155 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.78%
Worst MAE: -10.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, HTZWW typically reaches +11.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap -0.61%
Best Gap +1.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

How HTZWW compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HTZWW: +2.50% Sector: -0.02% +2.52%
EOD Gain
HTZWW: +10.06% Sector: +179.82% -169.77%
Avg MFE
HTZWW: +14.04% Sector: +5.77% +8.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HTZWW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-14 09:29:15 $3.43 +10.50% +5.39% +6.56% +9.33% +1.75% +10.50% -1.17% +0.58% WIN
2023-06-01 09:28:00 $8.45 +0.24% +0.47% - - +1.42% +3.43% +0.24% +0.59% WIN
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $12.81 +1.41% +2.26% +3.62% +1.95% +1.41% +3.67% +1.27% +1.41% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $9.9 -0.91% +7.13% +11.72% +19.49% +33.23% +34.85% -4.04% -2.93% LOSS
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $11.2 -1.00% -0.62% -0.71% -5.27% +3.84% +7.14% -10.18% -2.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HTZWW

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HTZWW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HTZWW Strategy →

Why Analyze HTZWW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HTZWW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HTZWW historically offers an average upside of +11.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HTZWW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HTZWW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HTZWW performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +8.33%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.