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HUBS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-04 → 2024-09-24

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 09, 2014 🔗 www.hubspot.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.91B 👥 Employees: 8,824
HubSpot provides a cloud-based marketing, sales, and customer service software platform referred to as the growth platform. The applications are available ala carte or packaged together. HubSpot's mission is to help companies grow better and has expanded from its initial focus on inbound marketing to embrace marketing, sales, and service more broadly. The company was founded in 2006, completed its initial public offering in 2014, and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 12/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +3.98%
Worst: -3.83%
Trades: 14/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -5.01%
Trades: 13/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 10/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -4.89%
Best: +5.64%
Worst: -8.10%
Trades: 14/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.39%
Best MFE: +6.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, HUBS alerts reach +2.39% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.89%
Worst MAE: -3.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.89%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, HUBS typically reaches +2.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +1.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How HUBS compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HUBS: -0.11% Sector: -0.09% -0.02%
EOD Gain
HUBS: -0.96% Sector: +73.64% -74.60%
Avg MFE
HUBS: +2.46% Sector: +4.32% -1.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HUBS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-24 09:25:38 $531.0 -0.55% +0.06% +0.09% - +0.21% +1.04% -1.19% -0.19% LOSS
2024-06-10 09:27:51 $592.01 +0.78% +0.57% +0.44% +0.42% +0.66% +1.49% +0.17% +0.67% WIN
2024-05-09 09:25:38 $632.0 -3.51% -3.83% -5.01% -6.36% -7.10% +0.32% -0.60% -1.11% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:25:00 $419.83 -0.89% +0.52% +1.23% +0.63% +2.17% +2.32% -1.40% -1.40% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:25:00 $485.0 +0.99% +1.93% +2.16% +2.02% +4.11% +5.10% +0.21% +0.21% WIN
2023-08-07 09:28:00 $488.5 -1.49% -0.93% -1.82% -0.44% +1.16% +1.26% -2.04% -1.01% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $398.88 -1.47% -1.44% -3.21% -2.12% -2.29% -0.72% -0.97% -0.75% LOSS
2023-03-10 09:25:00 $392.1 -2.03% -2.86% -4.61% -3.45% -5.71% -0.44% -2.03% -0.84% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:27:00 $387.37 +0.12% +1.92% +1.24% -0.34% -0.39% +2.94% -0.62% -0.35% WIN
2023-02-17 09:28:00 $416.5 -0.94% -1.83% -2.50% -0.87% -2.85% +0.45% -1.85% -0.20% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:29:00 $349.0 +0.13% -0.18% +0.89% +0.74% +5.64% +6.32% -0.51% +0.72% WIN
2023-01-24 09:25:00 $344.0 -0.29% +1.99% +2.51% +0.43% +0.85% +3.34% -0.96% -0.03% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $290.0 +0.62% +2.66% +1.92% +3.64% +0.48% +3.88% +0.42% +0.62% WIN
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $270.2 +1.19% +2.83% +1.61% -0.41% +2.05% +2.96% -0.07% +0.57% WIN
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $298.0 - -1.89% -1.81% +0.85% +2.00% +2.17% -2.68% -0.42% -
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $283.01 +1.41% +1.52% +1.59% +1.71% +2.53% +3.55% +0.69% +1.41% WIN
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $277.0 +1.63% +0.43% -1.12% -1.56% +2.39% +2.48% -3.03% +0.79% WIN
2022-07-12 09:25:00 $295.42 +0.55% -0.20% -4.62% -5.68% -7.47% +1.19% -0.99% -0.99% WIN
2022-06-29 09:25:00 $308.88 -0.32% -2.72% +0.50% +1.13% +0.48% +2.43% -3.56% -0.32% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $335.0 -1.46% +0.78% -1.23% -2.84% -8.10% +1.49% -1.46% -1.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.3% Baseline on HUBS

The 58.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HUBS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HUBS Strategy →

Why Analyze HUBS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HUBS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HUBS historically offers an average upside of +2.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HUBS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, HUBS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HUBS performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.