FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

HUMA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-12 → 2024-12-30

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 27, 2021 🔗 www.humacyte.com
💰 Market Cap: $202.6M 👥 Employees: 220
Humacyte Inc is developing a disruptive biotechnology platform to deliver universally implantable bioengineered human tissues and organs designed to improve the lives of patients and transform the practice of medicine. It develops and manufactures acellular tissues to treat a wide range of diseases, injuries, and chronic conditions. Company's pipeline includes Vascular Trauma, PAD, Dailysis, Acellular Tissue Engineered Vessels, Organ Systems, Advanced Tissue Constructs.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
52.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.39%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.22%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -3.40%
Best: +10.44%
Worst: -8.80%
Trades: 13/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -2.49%
Best: +14.13%
Worst: -11.78%
Trades: 11/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -4.02%
Best: +10.09%
Worst: -10.47%
Trades: 13/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +4.74%
Avg Loser: -4.71%
Best: +9.27%
Worst: -22.20%
Trades: 9/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +5.96%
Avg Loser: -6.16%
Best: +12.62%
Worst: -26.01%
Trades: 10/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.22%
Best MFE: +18.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 79 min

On average, HUMA alerts reach +7.22% profit potential within 79 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.80%
Worst MAE: -7.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, HUMA typically reaches +7.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 12.0%
Avg Gap -0.67%
Best Gap +2.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How HUMA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HUMA: -0.39% Sector: -0.41% +0.02%
EOD Gain
HUMA: -1.31% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.81%
Avg MFE
HUMA: +7.22% Sector: +6.69% +0.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HUMA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-30 09:26:39 $5.38 -2.75% -1.67% -1.30% -1.77% -5.39% +1.67% -4.83% -0.56% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:26:43 $5.48 +0.82% +2.92% -1.64% -5.75% +0.36% +3.28% -6.39% -1.82% WIN
2024-12-24 09:28:55 $4.69 -3.05% -3.30% -5.12% -2.80% -3.84% +0.21% -1.07% -0.64% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:25:22 $4.84 -3.72% -11.78% -9.09% -11.16% -3.93% +3.31% +0.41% +1.24% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:27:01 $5.73 +10.44% +6.98% -10.47% -4.19% -19.02% +18.15% -3.14% +0.87% WIN
2024-11-08 09:27:11 $5.18 +2.03% +6.18% +4.15% +9.27% +11.58% +17.95% -1.16% - WIN
2024-10-18 09:25:05 $5.3 +0.79% -0.09% +1.42% -1.23% -5.09% +2.83% -0.94% -0.38% WIN
2024-10-04 09:28:40 $5.38 +1.30% +0.46% +0.19% -1.93% +1.12% +3.16% -0.19% - WIN
2024-10-02 09:25:41 $5.74 +0.30% -0.87% +1.92% +6.27% -0.87% +10.45% -3.09% - WIN
2024-09-25 09:28:16 $5.89 -1.36% -1.10% -0.17% -2.21% -7.39% +1.19% -4.75% -2.34% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:28:19 $6.62 +5.29% -0.45% +0.62% -2.27% +0.45% +7.25% -3.63% -0.15% WIN
2024-08-12 09:26:20 $7.02 +3.70% +3.28% -3.14% -4.17% -5.77% +10.11% -2.71% -0.43% WIN
2024-08-09 09:26:27 $8.09 +0.49% -0.93% -0.49% - -2.23% +1.85% -0.25% -0.25% WIN
2024-08-05 09:29:36 $7.34 +0.25% +2.18% +4.90% +1.77% +7.22% +10.08% -3.11% -0.25% WIN
2024-07-31 09:25:52 $8.4 -2.98% +0.36% +1.31% +2.62% +12.62% +16.55% -3.33% -2.38% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:26:22 $8.88 -2.37% -3.17% -3.94% -3.72% -1.01% +1.35% - -0.45% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:26:25 $7.63 -3.42% -0.13% +6.45% +6.32% +10.09% +14.15% -4.72% -1.70% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:27:03 $5.45 -3.85% +14.13% +10.09% +5.87% -1.47% +15.60% -5.32% -1.65% LOSS
2024-05-31 09:28:09 $10.11 -8.80% -4.25% -5.64% -22.20% -26.01% -0.89% -0.89% -1.38% LOSS
2024-05-15 09:27:38 $6.88 -6.02% -5.82% -3.78% -3.34% -5.96% +1.16% -7.70% -1.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HUMA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, HUMA has -0.39% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HUMA profitable.

🔧 Fix HUMA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze HUMA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HUMA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HUMA historically offers an average upside of +7.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HUMA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, HUMA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.40%) outweigh average wins (+2.39%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HUMA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.39%). This suggests HUMA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.