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HYFM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-03 β†’ 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. Common Stock WHOLESALE-MISCELLANEOUS NONDURABLE GOODS (SIC 5190)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Dec 10, 2020 πŸ”— www.hydrofarm.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $7.8M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 286
Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc is a distributor and manufacturer of agriculture equipment and supplies. Some of its products includes lighting solutions, growing media (i.e., premium soils and soil alternatives), nutrients, equipment, and supplies sold underΒ proprietary, exclusive/preferred brands, or non-exclusive/distributed brands. The business is organized into two operating segments, the U.S. and Canada.
πŸ“Š
9
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
πŸ’°
+591.77%
Avg Gain (EOD)
πŸš€
+9.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +3.26%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -3.18%
Trades: 4/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +4.44%
Avg Loser: -4.24%
Best: +9.06%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +4.51%
Avg Loser: -7.48%
Best: +9.45%
Worst: -8.85%
Trades: 6/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +1.88%
Avg Winner: +8.20%
Avg Loser: -6.03%
Best: +15.13%
Worst: -14.85%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +591.77%
Avg Winner: +591.77%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +995.65%
Worst: +13.86%
Trades: 9/0

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.87%
Best MFE: +20.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 224 min

On average, HYFM alerts reach +9.87% profit potential within 224 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.96%
Worst MAE: -13.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.96%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.99:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, HYFM typically reaches +9.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 22.2%
Avg Gap -0.68%
Best Gap +1.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-MISCELLANEOUS NONDURABLE GOODS

How HYFM compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HYFM: +0.54% Sector: -1.71% +2.25%
EOD Gain
HYFM: +591.77% Sector: +707.44% -115.67%
Avg MFE
HYFM: +9.87% Sector: +8.52% +1.35%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical HYFM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:54 $0.5 +7.18% +9.06% +8.08% +15.07% +18.07% +20.07% -1.96% +1.56% WIN
2023-07-11 09:26:00 $0.9 - +2.21% +2.21% +0.13% +922.11% +4.04% - - -
2023-01-17 09:27:00 $1.76 -2.27% -7.39% -5.11% -2.56% +894.32% +1.70% -13.07% -0.57% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $2.2 -3.18% -1.36% +1.36% -3.18% +777.27% +2.27% -5.45% -2.27% LOSS
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $2.67 -1.50% +2.06% +3.36% +6.74% +13.86% +16.10% -2.25% -1.87% LOSS
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $2.3 +1.74% -2.61% +2.61% +3.94% +995.65% +10.43% -6.09% - WIN
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $2.26 +2.43% -5.75% -8.85% -3.54% +935.40% +12.39% -9.73% -1.33% WIN
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $4.85 -1.26% -5.36% -8.49% -14.85% +749.48% +2.06% -1.44% -2.06% LOSS
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $2.38 +1.68% -2.94% +9.45% +15.13% +19.75% +19.75% -4.62% +0.42% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

πŸš€ Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HYFM

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HYFM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HYFM Strategy β†’

Why Analyze HYFM with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HYFM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HYFM historically offers an average upside of +9.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š HYFM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HYFM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HYFM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +591.77%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.