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HYG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 221 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-14

🏢 Company Profile

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 06, 2008
📊
221
Total Alerts
🎯
51.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -0.09%
Best: +0.31%
Worst: -0.38%
Trades: 113/103

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.81%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 113/107

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -0.82%
Trades: 113/104

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -0.83%
Trades: 108/109

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -1.60%
Trades: 109/108

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.34%
Best MFE: +2.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 170 min

On average, HYG alerts reach +0.34% profit potential within 170 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.14%
Worst MAE: -1.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 221 alerts, HYG typically reaches +0.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 221
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HYG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:26:27 $78.65 +0.01% +0.02% -0.04% - -0.05% +0.10% -0.13% +0.05% WIN
2024-12-10 09:29:48 $79.7 +0.08% +0.12% +0.14% +0.11% +0.18% +0.30% +0.09% +0.30% WIN
2024-12-05 09:27:12 $79.8 -0.01% -0.04% -0.01% -0.07% -0.04% +0.03% -0.11% -0.01% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:08 $79.82 -0.11% -0.15% -0.19% -0.24% -0.23% -0.03% -0.14% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:25:44 $79.26 -0.10% -0.15% -0.14% -0.21% -0.04% +0.03% -0.27% -0.09% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:26:10 $79.5 +0.08% +0.06% +0.04% -0.03% -0.11% +0.13% +0.04% +0.11% WIN
2024-11-08 09:28:17 $79.66 +0.07% +0.02% +0.03% +0.13% +0.18% +0.21% +0.01% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-07 09:26:27 $79.44 -0.06% +0.02% +0.08% +0.05% +0.29% +0.33% -0.35% -0.18% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:44 $79.35 -0.21% -0.25% -0.30% -0.18% -0.03% +0.01% -0.34% -0.16% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:04 $78.97 +0.06% +0.07% +0.06% +0.04% -0.28% +0.14% - +0.08% WIN
2024-10-07 09:25:28 $79.52 -0.03% -0.04% -0.06% -0.09% -0.33% +0.16% -0.34% +0.03% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:28:18 $79.84 +0.03% +0.04% +0.03% -0.01% +0.10% +0.55% -0.06% +0.05% WIN
2024-08-16 09:25:12 $78.51 +0.05% +0.15% +0.20% +0.16% +0.42% +0.47% +0.04% +0.05% WIN
2024-08-15 09:28:23 $78.6 -0.03% -0.08% -0.08% -0.09% -0.01% +0.03% -0.19% -0.05% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:29:52 $78.16 +0.01% +0.03% -0.05% -0.08% +0.28% +0.29% -0.09% -0.06% WIN
2024-08-09 09:29:12 $78.01 +0.06% +0.02% -0.04% +0.04% -0.05% +0.10% - +0.01% WIN
2024-08-08 09:26:04 $77.95 -0.05% -0.07% -0.03% +0.08% +0.04% +0.09% -0.15% -0.06% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:25:25 $78.32 -0.17% -0.10% -0.10% -0.23% -0.46% -0.03% -0.19% -0.17% LOSS
2024-07-18 09:28:26 $78.2 -0.03% +0.03% +0.09% +0.07% -0.20% +0.09% -0.05% +0.05% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:26:49 $78.2 -0.20% -0.19% -0.18% -0.13% +0.12% +0.17% -0.26% -0.17% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HYG Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.1% win rate, HYG has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HYG profitable.

🔧 Fix HYG Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze HYG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HYG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HYG historically offers an average upside of +0.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HYG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.1%, HYG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HYG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at +0.00%). This suggests HYG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.