Latest signal:
IAU Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 450 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, IAU alerts reach +0.45% profit potential within 130 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 450 alerts, IAU typically reaches +0.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
How IAU compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical IAU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:58 | $55.23 | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.27% | -0.98% | -1.39% | +0.07% | - | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:57 | $54.92 | -0.02% | +0.17% | +0.15% | +0.25% | +0.66% | +0.68% | -0.09% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:30 | $54.57 | +0.14% | +0.13% | - | +0.07% | +0.33% | +0.62% | -0.16% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:41 | $54.68 | +0.19% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -0.02% | +0.02% | +0.37% | -0.22% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:29:15 | $54.8 | +0.03% | +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.16% | +0.15% | +0.26% | -0.07% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:02 | $53.94 | -0.09% | -0.14% | -0.45% | -0.49% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.07% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:08 | $54.05 | +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.24% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +0.65% | +0.02% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:27:45 | $53.49 | +0.19% | +0.19% | +0.19% | +0.33% | +0.37% | +0.37% | +0.06% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:13 | $53.14 | -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.56% | +0.32% | +0.06% | +0.56% | -0.04% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:06 | $52.98 | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.18% | +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.38% | -0.07% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:16 | $52.59 | -0.17% | -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.42% | -0.26% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:19 | $52.11 | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.06% | -0.25% | -0.21% | - | -0.15% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:36 | $51.92 | +0.01% | +0.13% | -0.09% | -0.31% | -0.31% | +0.15% | -0.22% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:27:26 | $51.76 | +0.13% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.42% | +0.62% | -0.10% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:11 | $51.55 | -0.05% | +0.06% | +0.22% | +0.16% | +0.39% | +0.54% | -0.07% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:27:09 | $51.06 | -0.02% | +0.19% | +0.24% | +0.30% | -0.14% | +0.47% | -0.08% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:27:50 | $51.24 | +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.34% | -0.11% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:25:02 | $50.77 | -0.06% | -0.20% | -0.25% | -0.28% | +0.28% | +0.28% | -0.47% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:27:47 | $50.21 | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.42% | +0.64% | +0.64% | - | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:27:42 | $50.35 | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.20% | +0.26% | -0.12% | +0.04% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ IAU Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.6% win rate, IAU has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making IAU profitable.
🔧 Fix IAU Risk/Reward →Why Analyze IAU with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IAU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, IAU historically offers an average upside of +0.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 IAU Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, IAU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: IAU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.00%). This suggests IAU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.