$IBIT
Trade-Ideas alert history 258 alerts 2024-02-01 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
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Playable IBIT setups
Historical IBIT setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, IBIT alerts reach +1.68% profit potential within 163 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.97x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 258 alerts, IBIT typically reaches +1.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
How IBIT compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical IBIT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:25 | $54.94 | +0.16% | +0.58% | +0.79% | -0.16% | +0.71% | +2.58% | -0.35% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:27 | $54.55 | -0.11% | +0.05% | -0.08% | +0.06% | +0.35% | +0.60% | -0.66% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:50 | $53.89 | +0.08% | +0.78% | +0.80% | +1.01% | +2.36% | +3.10% | -0.35% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:27:24 | $55.08 | -0.03% | +0.22% | +0.15% | +0.06% | -1.76% | +0.51% | -0.15% | +0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:56 | $55.58 | +0.29% | -0.31% | -0.37% | -0.57% | -0.36% | +0.34% | -0.11% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:03 | $56.71 | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.24% | -1.45% | -3.95% | +0.60% | -0.48% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:53 | $55.86 | +0.26% | -0.14% | -0.20% | -0.50% | -1.32% | +0.81% | -0.21% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:26 | $56.17 | +0.05% | +0.18% | -0.42% | -0.20% | -1.50% | +0.53% | -0.30% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:59 | $56.39 | +0.35% | +1.10% | +1.10% | +0.24% | -0.46% | +1.84% | -0.80% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:54 | $53.84 | +0.63% | +1.78% | +1.64% | +3.96% | +6.95% | +7.98% | -0.28% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:00 | $59.55 | -0.27% | -0.15% | -0.16% | +0.55% | -3.09% | +1.43% | -0.57% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:48 | $59.68 | +0.24% | +0.35% | +1.06% | +0.62% | +0.07% | +1.66% | -0.07% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:42 | $58.08 | +0.05% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.23% | +2.17% | +2.74% | -0.72% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:29:44 | $58.35 | +0.16% | -0.28% | +0.21% | +0.78% | -1.32% | +1.22% | -0.53% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:41 | $57.26 | +0.31% | +0.37% | +1.45% | +1.15% | +0.72% | +1.64% | -0.33% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:52 | $59.98 | -0.48% | +0.63% | +0.53% | +0.32% | -0.47% | +1.80% | -0.70% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:06 | $58.22 | +0.18% | +2.51% | +2.89% | +1.87% | +0.98% | +4.47% | -0.17% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:29:53 | $59.56 | -0.15% | -0.55% | -0.43% | -0.35% | -0.30% | +0.50% | -1.06% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:25:56 | $59.85 | -0.27% | -1.92% | -1.80% | -1.55% | +0.95% | +2.06% | -2.41% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:25:03 | $58.53 | -0.22% | -0.08% | +0.32% | +1.10% | +1.86% | +3.21% | -0.46% | -0.03% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ IBIT Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 50.8% win rate, IBIT has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making IBIT profitable.
🔧 Fix IBIT Risk / Reward →Why Analyze IBIT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IBIT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, IBIT historically offers an average upside of +1.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 IBIT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.8%, IBIT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.50%) outweigh average wins (+0.45%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: IBIT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests IBIT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.