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IBM Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 33 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-01-30
⚠️ Small sample size (33 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, IBM alerts reach +1.62% profit potential within 177 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.01x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, IBM typically reaches +1.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT
How IBM compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical IBM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-30 | 09:25:15 | $247.5 | +1.54% | +1.80% | +4.04% | +5.18% | +4.35% | +5.78% | -0.20% | +1.01% | WIN |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:25:53 | $220.93 | +0.27% | +1.05% | +0.70% | +0.70% | +0.78% | +1.24% | -0.17% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:26:10 | $228.35 | -0.14% | -0.15% | +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.27% | +0.81% | -0.32% | +0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:27:05 | $226.09 | +0.05% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.32% | +1.21% | +1.28% | -0.26% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:26:31 | $224.86 | -0.67% | -0.61% | -0.39% | -0.52% | +0.56% | +0.69% | -1.19% | -0.67% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:28:05 | $210.56 | -1.45% | -1.72% | -1.38% | -1.79% | -0.75% | -0.03% | -0.50% | -0.27% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-24 | 09:26:00 | $223.32 | -1.29% | -2.80% | -1.44% | -1.61% | -2.21% | +0.26% | -0.34% | -1.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-09 | 09:29:22 | $228.87 | +0.22% | +0.76% | +0.92% | +1.11% | +2.37% | +2.66% | -0.16% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-07-25 | 09:27:55 | $184.19 | +1.30% | +2.51% | +4.41% | +3.58% | +4.23% | +6.55% | -0.16% | +1.42% | WIN |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:29:35 | $165.66 | +1.96% | +1.34% | +0.37% | +0.71% | +1.96% | +4.10% | +0.84% | +1.53% | WIN |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:29:00 | $155.49 | -0.10% | +0.03% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.10% | +0.16% | -0.41% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:26:00 | $133.07 | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.32% | +0.49% | -0.14% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-04-20 | 09:27:00 | $129.7 | +0.04% | -1.14% | -2.59% | -2.29% | -2.58% | +0.99% | -0.15% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2023-02-03 | 09:27:00 | $135.95 | +0.67% | +0.40% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.73% | +0.74% | -0.31% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2023-01-26 | 09:26:00 | $137.87 | -0.71% | -1.89% | -1.78% | -1.78% | -2.48% | +0.29% | -0.39% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-18 | 09:26:00 | $143.7 | +0.44% | +0.20% | -0.16% | -0.49% | -2.29% | +0.68% | - | +0.49% | WIN |
| 2022-12-13 | 09:25:00 | $151.3 | +0.29% | +0.91% | +0.88% | -0.08% | -0.48% | +1.26% | -0.66% | -0.61% | WIN |
| 2022-12-12 | 09:25:00 | $147.82 | +0.01% | +0.01% | -0.57% | -0.33% | +0.94% | +0.94% | -0.59% | - | WIN |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $146.0 | +0.12% | +0.40% | +0.40% | +0.54% | +0.34% | +0.80% | -0.21% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2022-10-20 | 09:25:00 | $125.75 | +0.83% | +0.14% | +1.42% | +2.03% | +2.03% | +2.55% | -0.48% | +0.40% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on IBM
The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push IBM's performance to 75%+.
Optimize IBM Strategy →Why Analyze IBM with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IBM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, IBM historically offers an average upside of +1.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 IBM Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, IBM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show IBM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.