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ICL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 53 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2024-09-25

⚠️ Small sample size (53 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ICL Group Ltd.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 27, 2008 🔗 www.icl-group.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.96B 👥 Employees: 13,067
ICL Group Ltd is a manufacturer of products based on minerals. The firm is comprised of four segments: phosphate solutions, potash, industrial products, and growing solutions. These segments all contribute to the company's development of agriculture, food, and engineered material products and services. Maximum revenue is generated from its phosphate solutions segment which uses phosphate commodity products, such as phosphate rock and fertilizer-grade phosphoric acid (green phosphoric acid), to produce specialty products. This segment also produces and markets phosphate-based fertilizers. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from Brazil followed by, the United States of America, China, United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Israel, France, India, Netherlands, and other countries.
📊
53
Total Alerts
🎯
50.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.17%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 27/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +6.45%
Worst: -3.43%
Trades: 26/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +5.23%
Worst: -3.89%
Trades: 24/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +6.76%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 20/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +9.84%
Worst: -4.19%
Trades: 21/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.65%
Best MFE: +9.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, ICL alerts reach +1.65% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -2.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 53 alerts, ICL typically reaches +1.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 53
Gap Up % 45.3%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +2.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ICL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-25 09:29:14 $4.14 -0.72% -0.48% -0.24% -0.36% -1.21% +0.48% -0.72% -0.48% LOSS
2024-07-30 09:28:41 $4.23 - +0.71% +0.95% +0.35% +0.71% +1.30% -0.24% - -
2024-07-09 09:25:02 $4.4 - -0.11% -0.23% -0.57% -1.36% +0.23% -0.45% -0.23% -
2024-03-25 09:29:20 $5.29 -0.19% -0.19% +0.19% +0.11% +0.38% +0.40% -0.38% - LOSS
2024-03-21 09:28:49 $5.47 -0.09% - -0.55% -0.73% -1.46% +0.16% -0.37% -0.18% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:26:21 $5.08 +0.10% +0.98% +0.49% +0.69% +1.57% +1.67% -0.39% -0.20% WIN
2024-02-14 09:29:51 $4.75 -0.84% -0.84% -0.95% -1.39% -0.21% - -0.63% - LOSS
2024-02-13 09:29:43 $4.68 +0.64% +0.96% -0.21% -0.96% +0.43% +0.96% -0.43% -0.43% WIN
2023-12-20 09:28:00 $5.06 +0.20% - -0.20% -0.79% -1.98% +0.20% -0.40% -0.40% WIN
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $4.97 -0.20% -0.20% +0.40% +0.30% +2.62% +3.42% -0.60% -0.20% LOSS
2023-10-12 09:29:00 $5.21 -0.10% -0.48% -0.90% -0.58% -0.77% +0.58% -0.96% +0.38% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:28:00 $5.43 +0.75% +0.41% +0.64% +0.55% +1.47% +2.03% -0.18% +0.74% WIN
2023-07-24 09:25:00 $6.6 -0.61% +0.17% -1.02% -0.91% +0.30% +1.06% -1.21% -0.61% LOSS
2023-07-19 09:28:00 $6.67 +0.45% -0.45% -0.82% -1.27% -1.20% +0.90% - +0.45% WIN
2023-06-29 09:28:00 $5.45 +0.18% -0.09% -0.28% +0.18% -0.55% +0.64% -0.37% - WIN
2023-06-22 09:28:00 $5.86 -0.43% -0.43% -0.17% -0.34% -1.37% +0.17% -1.02% - LOSS
2023-06-06 09:29:00 $4.88 +3.48% +6.45% +5.23% +6.76% +9.84% +9.84% - +2.46% WIN
2023-05-08 09:28:00 $6.25 +0.48% +0.80% +0.32% +0.30% -1.12% +0.96% -0.16% - WIN
2023-03-23 09:25:00 $6.77 +0.44% +0.44% +0.15% +0.44% -1.33% +2.66% -0.30% +0.30% WIN
2023-03-20 09:29:00 $6.44 +0.31% +0.62% +0.78% +1.86% +1.86% +2.33% -0.47% -0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.9% Baseline on ICL

The 50.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ICL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ICL Strategy →

Why Analyze ICL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ICL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ICL historically offers an average upside of +1.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ICL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, ICL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ICL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.