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IEP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-02 → 2024-11-08
⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, IEP alerts reach +4.96% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.24x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, IEP typically reaches +4.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING
How IEP compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical IEP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | 09:28:32 | $11.5 | +2.71% | +3.74% | +3.57% | +4.16% | +5.22% | +7.65% | -0.35% | -0.35% | WIN |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:26:39 | $15.0 | -4.67% | -7.33% | -11.60% | -10.00% | -14.87% | +1.27% | -0.80% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-21 | 09:25:05 | $15.68 | +0.38% | -0.32% | -0.51% | -0.92% | -1.34% | +0.45% | +0.45% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2024-08-19 | 09:28:44 | $16.24 | -0.07% | -2.06% | -1.17% | -1.97% | -0.37% | +0.99% | -0.68% | +0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:26:37 | $18.81 | +0.45% | -2.29% | -3.03% | -4.49% | -3.83% | +1.44% | -1.38% | -1.38% | WIN |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:27:00 | $18.9 | -1.16% | +1.38% | +5.56% | +4.55% | +2.91% | +7.67% | -2.59% | -0.79% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-07 | 09:29:00 | $24.02 | -2.56% | -3.62% | -4.83% | -4.00% | -1.50% | - | -5.91% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-04 | 09:28:00 | $21.58 | +7.74% | +7.21% | +9.96% | +7.04% | +16.27% | +19.28% | -4.82% | -0.37% | WIN |
| 2023-07-11 | 09:25:00 | $35.23 | +0.10% | -2.85% | -0.14% | +1.10% | -2.36% | +2.19% | -0.48% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2023-07-10 | 09:27:00 | $32.27 | -0.98% | +0.16% | +4.40% | +5.64% | +7.50% | +9.39% | -2.39% | -1.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-30 | 09:28:00 | $21.02 | -1.76% | -3.43% | -1.95% | +0.58% | +6.47% | +7.71% | -4.33% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-26 | 09:29:00 | $21.26 | +0.66% | +0.38% | -2.68% | -2.68% | -2.87% | +2.40% | -1.93% | -0.47% | WIN |
| 2023-05-25 | 09:29:00 | $22.01 | -7.70% | -6.43% | -8.52% | -14.33% | -6.27% | +0.09% | -0.32% | -1.09% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-19 | 09:29:00 | $32.98 | -1.73% | -1.91% | -2.85% | -3.27% | -2.30% | -0.36% | -1.30% | -0.85% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-12 | 09:27:00 | $33.35 | +1.45% | +0.31% | +1.92% | +0.87% | +6.15% | +6.33% | -1.77% | - | WIN |
| 2023-05-11 | 09:28:00 | $30.25 | +0.71% | +1.62% | +2.12% | +1.53% | +4.63% | +6.94% | -0.66% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:27:00 | $34.3 | -2.51% | +2.66% | +2.77% | -0.79% | -6.06% | +4.96% | -9.10% | -1.05% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-08 | 09:27:00 | $38.94 | -4.34% | -1.71% | -2.70% | -2.14% | -6.01% | +1.28% | -0.10% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-05 | 09:28:00 | $33.5 | -0.03% | +0.21% | +4.72% | +4.69% | +13.81% | +19.04% | -2.24% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-04 | 09:25:00 | $30.83 | -1.72% | -6.91% | -3.91% | -4.31% | -2.40% | +8.34% | -8.24% | -0.58% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ IEP Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.9% win rate and -1.42% average gain, IEP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IEP for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze IEP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IEP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, IEP historically offers an average upside of +4.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 IEP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.9%, IEP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IEP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: IEP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.42%). This suggests IEP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.