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ILMN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 28, 2000 🔗 www.illumina.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.96B 👥 Employees: 8,970
Illumina provides tools and services to analyze genetic material with life science and clinical lab applications. The company generates over 90% of its revenue from sequencing instruments, consumables, and services. Illumina's high-throughput technology enables whole genome sequencing in humans and other large organisms. Its lower throughput tools enable applications that require smaller data outputs, such as viral and cancer tumor screening. Illumina also sells microarrays (9% of 2024 sales) that enable lower-cost, focused genetic screening with primarily consumer and agricultural applications.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
46.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -4.15%
Trades: 14/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +2.41%
Worst: -3.94%
Trades: 14/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +5.09%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 15/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +6.88%
Worst: -5.05%
Trades: 12/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +3.56%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +7.71%
Worst: -6.09%
Trades: 15/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.75%
Best MFE: +12.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, ILMN alerts reach +2.75% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.10%
Worst MAE: -5.29%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, ILMN typically reaches +2.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 46.9%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS

How ILMN compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ILMN: -0.12% Sector: -0.56% +0.44%
EOD Gain
ILMN: +0.75% Sector: +21808.61% -21807.86%
Avg MFE
ILMN: +2.75% Sector: +3.87% -1.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ILMN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:46 $103.75 +0.40% -0.95% -1.34% -0.91% -1.90% +0.58% -0.85% -0.69% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:44 $138.85 -3.63% -2.90% -4.29% -4.33% -2.95% +0.36% -1.69% +0.14% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:01 $139.5 -0.14% +0.08% -0.82% -0.15% -2.37% +0.78% -0.36% -0.35% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:44 $137.52 +1.31% +2.07% +3.57% +2.34% +4.87% +5.14% -0.75% -0.38% WIN
2024-11-26 09:27:03 $143.75 -1.24% -1.41% -0.94% -1.49% -0.56% -0.23% -2.22% -0.47% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:16 $128.19 +0.67% +1.22% +0.82% -0.35% +3.18% +3.26% -0.35% -0.12% WIN
2024-09-23 09:29:59 $131.4 -0.80% -1.32% -0.84% -0.85% -0.99% -0.02% -0.93% -0.19% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:25:51 $118.7 +1.08% +0.81% -1.10% -0.68% -0.84% +1.57% +0.67% +1.34% WIN
2024-07-08 09:29:59 $108.52 +1.17% -0.15% +0.10% +0.09% -0.63% +1.57% +0.45% +0.75% WIN
2024-07-02 09:28:26 $105.7 +0.11% +1.08% +0.54% +1.09% -0.18% +1.76% -0.13% +0.46% WIN
2024-06-06 09:26:23 $107.39 -0.41% -0.29% +2.57% +5.07% +6.82% +10.81% -1.45% -0.56% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:28:19 $104.38 -1.32% -2.37% -1.60% -1.49% -2.22% -0.01% -0.12% -0.12% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:02 $125.69 -0.61% -1.58% -2.50% -1.02% -1.35% +0.49% +0.06% +0.21% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:26:33 $141.1 -0.67% +1.86% -0.76% -1.63% -2.59% +2.19% -1.31% -0.28% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:28:34 $132.56 -0.06% -2.12% -1.92% -0.92% +0.48% +0.55% -2.12% +0.09% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:28:44 $139.31 -1.93% -2.31% -1.21% +0.51% +0.85% +2.43% -2.76% -0.08% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:26:00 $117.6 +1.64% +0.77% +2.13% +4.43% +7.71% +8.32% +0.36% +0.56% WIN
2023-11-30 09:29:00 $101.7 -1.31% -1.75% -1.24% -1.33% +0.25% +0.56% -2.43% -0.03% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:25:00 $97.0 +0.72% +2.41% +3.28% +2.74% +4.71% +6.08% -0.43% +0.22% WIN
2023-11-10 09:26:00 $93.97 -4.15% -0.98% -1.47% -2.31% +4.68% +4.88% -5.29% +0.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.9% Baseline on ILMN

The 46.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ILMN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ILMN Strategy →

Why Analyze ILMN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ILMN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ILMN historically offers an average upside of +2.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ILMN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.9%, ILMN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ILMN performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.