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IOVA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 63 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-27 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (63 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 26, 2010 🔗 www.iovance.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.05B 👥 Employees: 838
Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, pioneering a transformational approach to treating cancer by harnessing the human immune system's ability to recognize and destroy diverse cancer cells using therapies personalized for each patient. The company is preparing for potential U.S. regulatory approvals and commercialization of the first autologous T-cell therapy to address a solid tumor cancer. its objective is to be the leader in innovating, developing, and delivering tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte, or TIL, therapies for patients with solid tumor cancers.
📊
63
Total Alerts
🎯
50.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.7%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +6.26%
Worst: -12.06%
Trades: 25/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -2.85%
Best: +10.94%
Worst: -10.76%
Trades: 26/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +3.69%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +12.39%
Worst: -12.41%
Trades: 26/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +3.99%
Avg Loser: -3.36%
Best: +13.45%
Worst: -12.29%
Trades: 28/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +4.69%
Avg Loser: -4.66%
Best: +29.37%
Worst: -15.78%
Trades: 32/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.85%
Best MFE: +31.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, IOVA alerts reach +4.85% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.11%
Worst MAE: -12.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 63 alerts, IOVA typically reaches +4.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 63
Gap Up % 34.9%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +4.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How IOVA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IOVA: -0.33% Sector: -0.41% +0.09%
EOD Gain
IOVA: +0.16% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.34%
Avg MFE
IOVA: +4.85% Sector: +6.69% -1.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IOVA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:28:57 $5.6 +0.36% +1.52% +2.77% +6.34% +0.71% +6.96% -1.43% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:55 $6.14 -1.71% -1.63% -1.30% -1.21% -4.72% +0.16% -0.73% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:08 $5.99 +0.05% -1.67% -3.55% -3.43% -1.84% +1.17% -0.17% - WIN
2025-01-14 09:25:52 $6.08 - +4.52% +1.15% +2.14% -3.12% +5.92% -3.29% -2.30% -
2024-12-19 09:28:11 $7.49 -1.47% -3.34% -3.07% -2.27% -3.60% +0.08% -3.78% -0.40% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:26:32 $10.45 -0.43% -0.91% +0.53% +1.58% +1.91% +3.92% -3.83% +0.31% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:47 $10.63 -0.03% -2.78% -6.30% -8.04% -0.42% +2.82% +0.19% +0.38% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:20 $12.21 -0.31% +0.08% - +0.29% +0.57% +2.42% -0.70% +0.08% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:57 $12.05 -1.08% -1.16% -1.66% -0.37% +0.75% +2.74% -0.17% +0.33% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:43 $11.33 +0.09% -1.95% -0.79% -1.06% +2.91% +3.27% -2.65% +0.18% WIN
2024-08-09 09:29:34 $9.41 -0.21% +4.46% +1.12% +5.74% +5.42% +7.97% -7.97% -0.21% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:14 $7.12 +2.67% +3.65% +6.18% +5.06% +4.21% +10.39% -0.14% - WIN
2024-08-02 09:29:45 $7.73 -0.52% +0.78% +0.26% -1.30% +0.78% +3.36% -2.20% - LOSS
2024-07-29 09:26:19 $8.55 -0.29% -1.40% +3.33% +4.27% +5.85% +7.08% -3.27% -1.40% LOSS
2024-06-12 09:26:09 $9.23 -1.19% -3.68% -4.77% -4.37% -7.58% +0.43% +0.33% -1.08% LOSS
2024-05-24 09:25:33 $10.87 -4.23% -5.93% -4.23% -5.01% -7.91% +0.37% +0.37% - LOSS
2024-05-10 09:28:51 $13.02 -12.06% -10.18% -7.07% -12.29% -15.78% +1.34% -6.53% +0.15% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:28:22 $12.72 -1.29% -2.59% -2.71% -0.83% -1.10% +0.08% -4.80% -0.47% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:29:37 $17.41 +0.40% -0.06% -0.49% -2.64% -4.54% +0.80% -0.06% -0.06% WIN
2024-03-04 09:26:55 $18.25 -2.71% -2.79% -1.75% -6.47% -7.07% -0.05% -2.63% -0.85% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.8% Baseline on IOVA

The 50.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push IOVA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize IOVA Strategy →

Why Analyze IOVA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IOVA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IOVA historically offers an average upside of +4.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IOVA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.8%, IOVA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show IOVA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.