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IP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 53 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (53 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

International Paper Co. PAPER MILLS (SIC 2621)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 21, 1949 🔗 www.internationalpaper.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.73B 👥 Employees: 37,000
International Paper manufactures packaging products and cellulose fibers. It accounts for roughly one-third of the North American corrugated packaging market. The company also has a substantial presence in Europe following its acquisition of DS Smith. International Paper serves a variety of end markets, including industrial, consumer products, and manufacturing.
📊
53
Total Alerts
🎯
66.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.41%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.86%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.5%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +2.35%
Worst: -2.23%
Trades: 31/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.0%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +5.54%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 35/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 64.2%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +6.81%
Worst: -2.92%
Trades: 34/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.6%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +6.03%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 30/23

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.6%
Avg Gain: +0.71%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +6.28%
Worst: -3.88%
Trades: 30/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.86%
Best MFE: +7.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, IP alerts reach +1.86% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.37%
Worst MAE: -2.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 53 alerts, IP typically reaches +1.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 53
Gap Up % 60.4%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +2.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PAPER MILLS

How IP compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IP: +0.21% Sector: +0.23% -0.02%
EOD Gain
IP: +0.71% Sector: +0.68% +0.02%
Avg MFE
IP: +1.86% Sector: +1.89% -0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:37 $55.21 +0.53% +0.92% +1.02% +0.43% +0.42% +1.46% -0.11% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:55 $54.6 -0.13% +0.83% +1.32% +1.03% +1.90% +2.30% -0.26% +0.13% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:12 $56.1 -1.63% -2.12% -2.92% -2.35% -2.30% - - -0.18% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:44 $55.4 +2.24% +1.71% +2.08% +2.69% +1.21% +2.98% +0.07% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:54 $53.98 +1.62% +1.82% +1.69% +2.80% +3.26% +3.56% +0.44% +0.48% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:59 $53.5 -0.55% -0.44% -0.73% -1.81% +0.71% +1.53% -2.36% -0.45% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:37 $55.59 -0.26% +0.15% +1.24% +1.98% +2.63% +3.85% -1.98% -0.68% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:53 $58.06 +1.13% +1.09% +0.43% -0.23% -0.14% +1.58% -0.05% +0.24% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:36 $58.76 +0.41% +0.07% -0.48% -0.60% +0.61% +1.02% +0.05% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:42 $59.45 -0.11% +0.98% +0.70% +0.21% -0.27% +1.16% -0.62% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:08 $55.72 +1.02% +0.54% +0.50% +0.02% -0.11% +1.13% +0.18% +0.50% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:03 $53.89 +0.06% +0.35% +0.76% +1.32% +2.84% +2.84% -0.27% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:27 $53.27 -0.21% +0.15% +0.37% +0.39% +1.16% +1.28% -0.54% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:27 $54.46 +0.44% +0.78% +0.73% +0.48% -0.68% +0.81% +0.15% +0.53% WIN
2024-12-12 09:25:48 $54.1 +0.07% +0.44% +0.55% +0.43% +1.40% +2.31% -0.44% -0.09% WIN
2024-11-26 09:25:18 $59.68 -0.21% -0.48% -1.06% -1.66% -0.96% +0.28% -0.30% +0.05% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:25:14 $57.32 +0.72% +0.44% +0.05% -0.26% +2.65% +5.06% -0.38% +0.14% WIN
2024-11-19 09:26:41 $56.95 +0.04% +0.16% +0.09% +0.07% +1.56% +1.84% -0.58% -0.09% WIN
2024-10-31 09:25:38 $52.26 +2.35% +5.54% +6.81% +6.03% +6.28% +7.65% -0.19% +0.48% WIN
2024-10-30 09:27:23 $47.18 +1.75% +2.74% +3.26% +3.18% +3.92% +4.85% +0.61% +0.72% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.0% Baseline on IP

The 66.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push IP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize IP Strategy →

Why Analyze IP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IP historically offers an average upside of +1.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.0%, IP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show IP performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.41%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.