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IPOD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-21 → 2022-10-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Dune Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares BLANK CHECKS (SIC 6770)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 12, 2025 🔗 www.duneacq.com
💰 Market Cap: $207.8M
Dune Acquisition Corp II is a blank check company.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +0.01%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.12%
Best: -0.05%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.08%
Best MFE: +0.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 218 min

On average, IPOD alerts reach +0.08% profit potential within 218 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.11%
Worst MAE: -0.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 40 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.67:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, IPOD typically reaches +0.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BLANK CHECKS

How IPOD compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IPOD: -0.05% Sector: -2.88% +2.83%
EOD Gain
IPOD: -0.10% Sector: +228.91% -229.01%
Avg MFE
IPOD: +0.05% Sector: +11.25% -11.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IPOD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-14 09:25:00 $10.03 +0.05% +0.05% +0.01% - - +0.10% - - WIN
2022-09-20 09:25:00 $10.02 -0.10% -0.15% -0.15% -0.20% -0.20% - -0.10% -0.10% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $9.99 -0.10% - - - -0.10% +0.10% -0.20% -0.20% LOSS
2022-03-21 09:25:00 $9.93 - - - -0.05% - +0.10% -0.15% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IPOD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.05% average gain, IPOD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IPOD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze IPOD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IPOD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IPOD historically offers an average upside of +0.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IPOD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, IPOD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IPOD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IPOD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.05%). This suggests IPOD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.