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IQV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-11 → 2024-07-08

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 09, 2013 🔗 www.iqvia.com
💰 Market Cap: $40.07B 👥 Employees: 91,000
Iqvia is the result of the 2016 merger of Quintiles, a leading global contract research organization, and IMS Health, a leading healthcare data and analytics provider. The research and development segment focuses primarily on providing outsourced late-stage clinical trials for pharmaceutical, device, and diagnostic firms. The technology and analytics segment provides aggregated information and technology services to clients in the healthcare industry, including pharmaceutical companies, providers, payers, and policymakers, as well as data and analytics capabilities for clinical trials, including virtual trials. The company also has a small contract sales business.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.22%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -0.70%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -0.76%
Trades: 2/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: -3.11%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.17%
Best MFE: +2.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 73 min

On average, IQV alerts reach +1.17% profit potential within 73 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -1.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, IQV typically reaches +1.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.27%
Best Gap +2.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

How IQV compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IQV: +0.26% Sector: -0.11% +0.37%
EOD Gain
IQV: +0.00% Sector: +146.46% -146.46%
Avg MFE
IQV: +1.17% Sector: +9.42% -8.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IQV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-08 09:29:51 $208.1 +0.37% +0.53% +0.06% -0.43% +0.40% +0.73% +0.22% +0.22% WIN
2023-08-11 09:25:00 $221.78 -0.65% -0.81% -0.70% -0.76% -0.87% -0.29% -1.15% -0.74% LOSS
2023-08-01 09:25:00 $216.0 +1.59% +2.22% +1.34% +0.06% +1.45% +2.90% +0.63% +2.14% WIN
2023-06-13 09:28:00 $213.83 -0.85% -0.27% -0.35% -0.45% +0.61% +0.72% -1.00% -0.81% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:28:00 $205.36 +1.20% +1.07% +0.91% +0.90% +1.52% +2.35% +0.69% +1.53% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $252.12 -0.11% -0.44% -0.50% -0.70% -3.11% +0.58% -0.69% -0.69% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IQV Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, IQV has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making IQV profitable.

🔧 Fix IQV Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze IQV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IQV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IQV historically offers an average upside of +1.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IQV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, IQV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IQV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at +0.00%). This suggests IQV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.