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Latest signal:

IR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-28 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ingersoll Rand Inc. Common Stock GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT (SIC 3560)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 12, 2017 🔗 www.irco.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.46B 👥 Employees: 21,000
Ingersoll Rand was formed through the merger of Gardner Denver and Ingersoll Rand's industrial segment. The firm's portfolio consists of two business lines: industrial technologies and services, and precision and science technologies. Ingersoll Rand serves a variety of end markets, including industrial, medical, and energy. Its broad portfolio of products includes compression, blower and vacuum, and fluid management. Ingersoll Rand generated roughly $7.2 billion in revenue in 2024.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +0.62%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 2/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +0.34%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 2/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 1/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +1.26%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 1/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.81%
Best MFE: +2.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 199 min

On average, IR alerts reach +0.81% profit potential within 199 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -2.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.01:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, IR typically reaches +0.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -0.43%
Best Gap +0.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How IR compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IR: -0.38% Sector: +0.23% -0.61%
EOD Gain
IR: -0.00% Sector: -0.03% +0.03%
Avg MFE
IR: +0.81% Sector: +3.98% -3.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:25:42 $95.82 -2.01% -1.85% -1.84% -1.90% -1.66% -1.20% -2.26% -1.38% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:27:27 $102.39 -0.10% -0.04% -0.58% -0.17% -0.72% +0.07% -1.12% -0.67% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:26:00 $68.49 -0.36% -0.39% -0.38% -0.47% +0.54% +1.24% -0.63% -0.50% LOSS
2023-10-05 09:26:00 $63.15 +0.41% +0.30% -0.02% -0.11% -0.52% +0.68% +0.36% +0.36% WIN
2023-02-17 09:27:00 $57.39 -0.35% -0.09% -0.54% -0.33% +0.33% +0.77% -0.82% -0.49% LOSS
2023-02-07 09:27:00 $56.39 -0.89% -0.28% -0.07% -0.18% +1.61% +1.97% -0.92% -0.64% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $50.31 +0.62% +0.34% +1.52% +1.26% +0.42% +2.17% -0.24% +0.28% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IR Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.1% win rate, IR has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making IR profitable.

🔧 Fix IR Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze IR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IR historically offers an average upside of +0.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, IR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.00%). This suggests IR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.