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ISPOW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-18 → 2022-03-31

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Inspirato Incorporated Warrant BLANK CHECKS (SIC 6770)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 14, 2022 🔗 www.inspirato.com
👥 Employees: 470
Inspirato Inc is a private, luxury hospitality club that provides its members with access to an exclusive portfolio of high-end vacation homes, luxury hotels, and curated travel experiences worldwide. The club offers personalized service, dedicated trip planning, and seamless access to exceptional properties through its innovative model designed to ensure the service, certainty and value that discerning customers demand. The Inspirato portfolio of curated luxury vacation options includes approximately 350 private luxury vacation homes and accommodations at over 220 luxury hotel and resort partners in over 180 destinations around the world.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
25.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.99%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.99%
Avg Winner: +3.55%
Avg Loser: -7.84%
Best: +3.55%
Worst: -16.03%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.91%
Best: -1.02%
Worst: -11.98%
Trades: 0/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -11.90%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -11.90%
Best: -4.14%
Worst: -27.18%
Trades: 0/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -13.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -13.00%
Best: -6.15%
Worst: -26.83%
Trades: 0/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -14.27%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -14.27%
Best: -10.60%
Worst: -21.25%
Trades: 0/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.18%
Best MFE: +12.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 48 min

On average, ISPOW alerts reach +5.18% profit potential within 48 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -11.52%
Worst MAE: -18.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 11.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.45:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ISPOW typically reaches +5.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap +1.39%
Best Gap +6.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BLANK CHECKS

How ISPOW compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ISPOW: -4.99% Sector: -2.88% -2.11%
EOD Gain
ISPOW: -14.27% Sector: +228.91% -243.17%
Avg MFE
ISPOW: +5.18% Sector: +11.25% -6.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ISPOW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $2.17 -2.77% -8.32% -8.42% -6.15% -10.60% +6.91% -5.07% +6.45% LOSS
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $1.27 -4.72% -6.30% -7.87% -11.02% -14.57% -3.15% -6.30% -4.72% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $1.69 +3.55% -1.02% -4.14% -7.99% -10.65% +12.43% -18.34% +3.55% WIN
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $2.87 -16.03% -11.98% -27.18% -26.83% -21.25% +4.53% -16.38% +0.29% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ISPOW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 25.0% win rate and -4.99% average gain, ISPOW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ISPOW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ISPOW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ISPOW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ISPOW historically offers an average upside of +5.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ISPOW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, ISPOW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ISPOW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ISPOW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.99%). This suggests ISPOW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.