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IVVD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-19 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 06, 2021 🔗 www.invivyd.com
💰 Market Cap: $595.0M 👥 Employees: 100
Invivyd Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody-based solutions for infectious diseases with pandemic potential. The company is developing antibodies to transcend the limits of naturally occurring immunity and provide superior protection from viral diseases, beginning with COVID-19. The company's product candidates are; ADG20 developed for the treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease, and VYD222, a monoclonal antibody candidate engineered, optimizing for potency and breadth of coverage, as well as providing a higher probability of retaining its utility for a longer duration in an evolving viral landscape.
📊
20
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.59%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+21.23%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +3.21%
Avg Loser: -6.38%
Best: +9.11%
Worst: -27.88%
Trades: 10/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +3.99%
Avg Loser: -6.43%
Best: +10.62%
Worst: -9.43%
Trades: 9/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +10.62%
Avg Loser: -5.80%
Best: +26.19%
Worst: -12.50%
Trades: 6/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.05%
Avg Winner: +9.96%
Avg Loser: -8.39%
Best: +28.45%
Worst: -21.63%
Trades: 8/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: +6.22%
Avg Winner: +40.03%
Avg Loser: -11.98%
Best: +138.95%
Worst: -28.12%
Trades: 7/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +21.23%
Best MFE: +150.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, IVVD alerts reach +21.23% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.93%
Worst MAE: -15.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, IVVD typically reaches +21.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 17.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 35.0%
Avg Gap -0.36%
Best Gap +3.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How IVVD compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IVVD: -1.59% Sector: -0.41% -1.18%
EOD Gain
IVVD: +6.22% Sector: +1233.50% -1227.28%
Avg MFE
IVVD: +21.23% Sector: +6.69% +14.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IVVD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:13 $1.33 +6.01% +10.62% +15.41% +16.07% +21.05% +21.80% - +0.75% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:54 $1.44 +0.69% -5.21% -5.55% -4.81% -4.17% +2.08% -2.78% -2.08% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:02 $1.55 -1.28% +0.97% -0.66% -6.45% -1.94% +7.74% -4.51% - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:58 $1.44 -9.38% -4.17% -6.88% +2.02% +16.67% +22.91% -12.15% -2.43% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:34 $2.08 -27.88% -9.17% -12.50% -21.63% -24.52% -1.44% -2.40% -1.92% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:31 $2.01 -0.49% +4.48% +3.48% +3.51% +1.49% +31.34% -2.49% -0.45% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:11 $2.56 -6.05% +2.54% -6.61% -8.20% -22.66% +7.03% -8.59% -1.56% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:51 $1.16 +0.45% -6.47% -5.02% +4.32% +81.90% +101.72% -15.51% +0.86% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:43 $1.27 +6.91% -8.27% -5.12% -10.63% -1.57% +12.60% -3.94% -0.79% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:29 $0.44 +9.11% +8.30% +26.19% +28.45% +138.95% +150.23% -1.65% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:46 $0.46 -0.86% +2.67% +6.43% +4.67% -11.34% +7.55% -3.21% -0.54% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:21 $0.46 -0.87% -4.37% -4.72% -9.07% -13.22% -0.02% -0.02% -0.87% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:44 $0.47 -5.18% -6.99% -10.42% -8.41% -3.71% +2.90% -12.34% -1.98% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:29:35 $0.55 +3.67% +3.34% -2.75% -7.09% -7.29% +7.25% -7.29% +3.18% WIN
2024-08-27 09:29:42 $1.28 +0.39% -3.52% -5.33% -8.59% -28.12% +3.12% -1.56% +0.78% WIN
2024-04-05 09:26:14 $3.77 +0.27% - -2.39% -0.27% -12.47% +4.24% -1.58% - WIN
2024-03-26 09:27:20 $3.85 +3.89% +1.28% -1.30% -3.69% -4.94% +5.45% -1.30% +0.52% WIN
2024-03-25 09:29:07 $4.03 -2.73% -9.43% -11.97% -11.79% -19.85% +5.86% -0.74% -0.25% LOSS
2024-02-12 09:29:08 $3.89 -9.10% -6.67% +6.17% +16.18% +7.20% +17.99% -14.89% -1.29% LOSS
2023-12-19 09:25:00 $2.94 +0.68% +1.70% +6.05% +4.42% +12.93% +14.29% -1.70% +0.68% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IVVD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.59% average gain, IVVD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IVVD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze IVVD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IVVD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IVVD historically offers an average upside of +21.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IVVD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, IVVD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IVVD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IVVD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.59%). This suggests IVVD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.