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JAKK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-28 → 2022-07-28

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 02, 1996 🔗 www.jakks.com
💰 Market Cap: $214.1M 👥 Employees: 680
Jakks Pacific Inc is a multi-product line, multi-brand toy company that designs, produces, markets, sells and distributes toys and related kid-targeted consumer products, inclusive of kids indoor and outdoor furniture, costumes and various product lines in the sporting goods and home furnishings space. Its products offering include Traditional toys and electronics such as Action figures, Toy vehicles, Dolls and accessories, Ride-on toys, Toys for pets, and others. The company's products have been divided into two segments: (i) Toys/Consumer Products and (ii) Costumes.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.41%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: +0.41%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.49%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: +2.49%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.73%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: -3.73%
Worst: -3.73%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.12%
Best: -5.12%
Worst: -5.12%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.80%
Best: -6.80%
Worst: -6.80%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.92%
Best MFE: +8.92%
Avg Time to MFE: 7 min

On average, JAKK alerts reach +8.92% profit potential within 7 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.24%
Worst MAE: -1.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, JAKK typically reaches +8.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.41%
Best Gap -0.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GAMES, TOYS & CHILDREN'S VEHICLES (NO DOLLS & BICYCLES)

How JAKK compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JAKK: +0.41% Sector: -0.34% +0.75%
EOD Gain
JAKK: -6.80% Sector: +1.40% -8.20%
Avg MFE
JAKK: +8.92% Sector: +5.51% +3.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JAKK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $24.1 +0.41% +2.49% -3.73% -5.12% -6.80% +8.92% -1.24% -0.41% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on JAKK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JAKK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JAKK Strategy →

Why Analyze JAKK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JAKK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JAKK historically offers an average upside of +8.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JAKK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, JAKK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JAKK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.41%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.