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JAMF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-15 → 2024-12-16

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Jamf Holding Corp. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2020 🔗 www.jamf.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.74B 👥 Employees: 2,595
Jamf Holding Corp is the standard in Apple Enterprise Management, and its cloud software platform is the vertically focused Apple infrastructure and security platform. The company helps organizations, including businesses, hospitals, schools, and government agencies, connect, manage, and protect Apple products, apps, and corporate resources in the cloud without ever having to touch the devices. It sells its Software-as-a-Service, or SaaS, solutions via a subscription model, through a direct sales force, online, and indirectly via its channel partners, including Apple. The company operates in The Americas; Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa; and Asia Pacific.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -1.92%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +3.25%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +0.98%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: -2.85%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.79%
Best MFE: +4.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 28 min

On average, JAMF alerts reach +1.79% profit potential within 28 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.09%
Worst MAE: -2.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.64:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, JAMF typically reaches +1.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.45%
Best Gap +1.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How JAMF compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JAMF: -0.00% Sector: -0.09% +0.09%
EOD Gain
JAMF: -0.58% Sector: +73.64% -74.21%
Avg MFE
JAMF: +1.79% Sector: +4.32% -2.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JAMF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-16 09:27:19 $15.1 -1.92% -1.66% -0.36% -0.10% -0.40% +0.50% -2.45% -0.86% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:28:03 $18.25 -0.01% -0.16% - -0.10% -2.85% +0.88% -0.82% +0.27% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $34.19 +1.93% +3.25% +1.84% +0.98% +1.52% +4.01% - +1.93% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JAMF Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.00% average gain, JAMF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JAMF for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JAMF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JAMF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JAMF historically offers an average upside of +1.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JAMF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, JAMF shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JAMF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.00%). This suggests JAMF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.