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JBL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-21 → 2024-12-18

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 29, 1993 🔗 www.jabil.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.67B 👥 Employees: 135,000
Jabil Inc. is a U.S based company providing engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions. It provides comprehensive electronics design, production, and product management services to companies in various industries and end markets. It operates through three segments: Regulated Industries, serving automotive, healthcare, and renewables; Intelligent Infrastructure, focused on AI, cloud, data centers, and communications, driving the majority of revenue; and Connected Living and Digital Commerce, specializing in digitalization and automation, such as robotics and warehouse automation. The company operates in the U.S., Mexico, China, Malaysia, Singapore, and several other markets.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.34%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 2/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +2.24%
Worst: -1.50%
Trades: 6/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +1.71%
Worst: -2.33%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 2/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +6.62%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.06%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, JBL alerts reach +2.06% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.95%
Worst MAE: -2.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, JBL typically reaches +2.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +1.71%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS

How JBL compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JBL: -0.19% Sector: -0.34% +0.15%
EOD Gain
JBL: -0.60% Sector: -0.19% -0.42%
Avg MFE
JBL: +2.06% Sector: +2.99% -0.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JBL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-18 09:25:21 $149.0 -0.67% -0.54% -2.33% -2.52% -3.56% +0.72% -1.44% -0.56% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:49 $137.96 -0.88% -1.50% -1.38% -0.91% -1.60% -0.41% -1.67% -0.88% LOSS
2024-03-15 09:28:27 $128.5 -0.79% +2.11% +0.58% -0.42% -4.16% +4.79% -0.82% +0.18% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:28:00 $127.95 -0.03% +0.27% -0.77% -0.75% +6.62% +7.27% -1.69% +1.71% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:26:00 $118.03 -0.32% +0.06% +0.23% -2.28% -2.36% +1.67% -0.87% -0.39% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $126.3 +0.12% +0.91% +1.26% +1.02% +0.23% +1.42% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2023-09-29 09:29:00 $126.25 -0.21% +0.23% -0.06% -0.02% +0.51% +0.87% -1.15% +0.56% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:29:00 $83.4 -1.09% -0.71% -0.83% -1.64% -1.18% -0.28% -2.10% -1.26% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:28:00 $82.61 +2.17% +2.24% +1.71% +1.31% +0.08% +2.46% +1.08% +1.33% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on JBL

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JBL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JBL Strategy →

Why Analyze JBL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JBL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JBL historically offers an average upside of +2.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JBL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, JBL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JBL performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.