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JDST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 308 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-06-21

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Oct 03, 2013
📊
308
Total Alerts
🎯
73.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+450.86%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.52%
Worst: -7.29%
Trades: 164/133

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +9.90%
Worst: -8.13%
Trades: 159/138

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +8.61%
Worst: -6.42%
Trades: 148/147

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +10.59%
Worst: -7.70%
Trades: 160/143

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.1%
Avg Gain: +450.86%
Avg Winner: +618.27%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +993.14%
Worst: -12.10%
Trades: 225/81

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.96%
Best MFE: +17.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, JDST alerts reach +2.96% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -9.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.92:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.92x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 308 alerts, JDST typically reaches +2.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 308
Gap Up % 49.0%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JDST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-21 09:28:25 $3.74 +1.07% +1.07% +2.14% +2.54% +929.41% +4.01% -0.67% -0.53% WIN
2024-06-13 09:25:26 $3.92 -1.28% -2.04% +0.13% +0.51% +928.06% +4.08% -2.81% +0.26% LOSS
2024-06-11 09:28:26 $3.9 +0.50% +0.48% +0.90% +0.90% +902.56% +2.31% -0.13% - WIN
2024-06-07 09:25:16 $3.68 +0.27% +1.63% +2.72% +2.45% +967.93% +7.34% -0.82% -0.27% WIN
2024-05-31 09:28:07 $3.37 +0.89% -0.59% +0.62% +2.23% +3.26% +5.34% -0.89% +0.30% WIN
2024-05-30 09:26:33 $3.5 -0.29% -1.71% -2.71% -2.57% -1.43% +0.29% -0.29% - LOSS
2024-05-29 09:26:32 $3.44 -0.87% +1.02% - +0.29% +923.26% +2.62% -1.16% +0.58% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:26:47 $3.41 -0.59% -1.47% -0.15% -0.59% -1.47% +1.17% -2.05% -0.88% LOSS
2024-05-20 09:29:30 $3.3 +1.97% +1.21% +0.28% - -1.52% +2.73% -0.61% - WIN
2024-05-15 09:25:49 $3.7 +0.41% +1.08% +3.51% +2.70% -1.62% +4.05% -0.81% - WIN
2024-05-10 09:26:15 $3.65 +1.51% +3.01% +1.96% +3.01% +4.38% +4.38% +0.44% +0.55% WIN
2024-05-09 09:28:16 $4.02 -0.75% -0.75% -0.87% -4.60% -6.47% +0.50% -0.99% +0.50% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:28:49 $4.17 -1.44% -0.96% -0.72% -3.15% +883.21% +0.72% -0.24% -0.24% LOSS
2024-05-07 09:28:15 $4.11 +0.64% -0.36% - -0.37% +900.00% +1.46% +0.49% +0.73% WIN
2024-05-06 09:26:11 $4.16 -1.32% -2.13% -1.45% -1.20% -1.44% - -1.69% -0.43% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:26:44 $4.27 +1.17% +1.76% +0.70% +2.81% +1.87% +3.51% -1.17% +0.23% WIN
2024-05-02 09:27:31 $4.42 -1.49% -0.79% - -1.38% +877.38% +0.91% -1.81% - LOSS
2024-05-01 09:26:02 $4.32 - +0.69% +0.69% -0.23% +0.23% +2.31% -1.39% -0.69% -
2024-04-30 09:27:24 $4.24 -0.70% -1.61% -1.06% +0.59% +935.38% +4.01% -2.00% -0.71% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:28:59 $4.05 -0.25% +0.99% - -1.23% +882.72% +2.45% -2.37% -0.74% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.1% Baseline on JDST

The 73.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JDST's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JDST Strategy →

Why Analyze JDST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JDST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JDST historically offers an average upside of +2.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JDST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.1%, JDST shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JDST performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +450.86%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.