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JEF Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2024-08-12
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, JEF alerts reach +1.29% profit potential within 8 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, JEF typically reaches +1.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
How JEF compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical JEF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | 09:26:08 | $55.21 | +0.51% | +0.21% | -0.53% | +0.62% | -0.43% | +0.80% | -0.22% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2022-07-22 | 09:25:00 | $31.02 | +0.29% | +0.98% | +0.19% | -0.18% | +0.64% | +1.42% | +0.23% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2022-01-12 | 09:25:00 | $38.86 | -1.57% | -2.66% | -2.70% | -3.58% | -3.27% | +1.65% | +1.65% | -0.23% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ JEF Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, JEF has -0.26% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making JEF profitable.
🔧 Fix JEF Risk/Reward →Why Analyze JEF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JEF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, JEF historically offers an average upside of +1.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 JEF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, JEF shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.57%) outweigh average wins (+0.40%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: JEF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.26%). This suggests JEF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.