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JEPI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 162 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-13 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 21, 2020
📊
162
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +0.40%
Worst: -0.65%
Trades: 63/95

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 59/98

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +1.16%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 63/95

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.9%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 59/98

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +3.33%
Worst: -1.57%
Trades: 72/82

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.30%
Best MFE: +3.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, JEPI alerts reach +0.30% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.19%
Worst MAE: -1.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.62:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 162 alerts, JEPI typically reaches +0.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 162
Gap Up % 40.7%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JEPI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:30 $58.93 -0.20% -0.20% -0.04% +0.01% +0.19% +0.27% -0.29% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:55 $58.12 +0.14% +0.06% -0.13% +0.46% +0.76% +1.04% -0.26% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:31 $58.77 +0.24% +0.36% +0.44% +0.43% +0.88% +0.90% -0.94% -0.12% WIN
2025-01-10 09:29:38 $57.66 -0.14% -0.17% -0.61% -0.68% -1.04% - -0.24% -0.06% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:05 $57.8 -0.19% -0.22% -0.18% -0.12% -0.47% +0.02% +0.02% -0.16% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:29:33 $58.05 -0.19% -0.45% -0.65% -0.66% -0.15% +0.19% -0.75% - LOSS
2024-12-19 09:28:36 $58.14 +0.08% -0.19% -0.44% -0.55% -0.86% +0.09% -0.34% -0.12% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:18 $59.73 -0.15% -0.45% -0.59% -0.44% -0.23% +0.07% -0.22% +0.03% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:29:13 $59.51 -0.11% -0.08% -0.17% -0.09% -0.25% -0.03% -0.28% -0.10% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:28:00 $59.6 -0.07% -0.17% -0.18% -0.20% - +0.07% -0.27% -0.02% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:08 $55.27 -0.56% -0.65% -0.58% -0.44% -0.52% +0.61% -0.76% -0.43% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:26:18 $55.96 +0.04% +0.12% +0.19% -0.22% +0.18% +0.27% -0.11% +0.18% WIN
2024-04-25 09:26:22 $56.11 -0.20% -0.50% -0.68% -0.69% - +0.22% -0.81% -0.30% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:27:18 $56.52 -0.27% -0.11% -0.15% -0.23% -0.18% +0.05% - - LOSS
2024-04-15 09:25:18 $56.47 +0.23% +0.31% +0.21% -0.20% -1.38% +0.35% -0.07% +0.14% WIN
2024-04-11 09:25:48 $56.91 -0.18% -0.39% -0.48% -0.76% -0.18% +0.06% -0.84% -0.07% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:27:17 $56.81 -0.23% -0.32% -0.21% -0.07% -0.23% +0.14% -0.42% -0.07% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:28:24 $57.23 +0.27% +0.27% +0.24% +0.24% -0.94% +0.30% +0.05% +0.05% WIN
2024-04-01 09:26:22 $57.63 -0.22% -0.40% -0.44% -0.54% -0.62% -0.02% -0.05% -0.16% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:27:13 $57.05 +0.02% - -0.11% -0.17% -0.14% +0.04% -0.11% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JEPI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.06% average gain, JEPI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JEPI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JEPI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JEPI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JEPI historically offers an average upside of +0.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JEPI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, JEPI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JEPI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JEPI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.06%). This suggests JEPI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.