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JKS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 66 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-12-09

⚠️ Small sample size (66 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

JINKOSOLAR HOLDINGS CO
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 14, 2010 🔗 www.jinkosolar.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.43B 👥 Employees: 33,830
JinkoSolar Holding Co Ltd is engaged in the photovoltaic industry. The firm has built a vertically integrated solar power product value chain, manufacturing from silicon wafers to solar modules. It sells solar modules under the JinkoSolar brand. The company's products include Silicon wafers, Solar cells, and Solar modules. Its geographical segments are China (including Hong Kong and Taiwan), North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the world.
📊
66
Total Alerts
🎯
56.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -2.14%
Best: +6.81%
Worst: -5.45%
Trades: 37/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +3.02%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +8.91%
Worst: -10.67%
Trades: 33/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +3.40%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +11.20%
Worst: -9.76%
Trades: 34/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +16.68%
Worst: -8.92%
Trades: 33/33

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +4.35%
Avg Loser: -4.24%
Best: +19.28%
Worst: -10.73%
Trades: 36/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.43%
Best MFE: +21.34%
Avg Time to MFE: 86 min

On average, JKS alerts reach +4.43% profit potential within 86 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.31%
Worst MAE: -9.58%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 66 alerts, JKS typically reaches +4.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 66
Gap Up % 43.9%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +4.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JKS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-09 09:27:07 $27.91 +1.11% +3.39% +2.49% +2.51% +2.83% +6.32% -0.79% -0.79% WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:52 $24.96 +3.41% +3.89% +4.53% +6.49% +6.01% +9.33% +0.72% +1.36% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:05 $24.1 +1.04% +2.90% +0.50% +1.24% +0.12% +6.35% +0.17% +2.32% WIN
2024-10-30 09:26:43 $25.77 -4.85% -4.38% -3.76% +0.47% -1.63% +4.31% -9.58% -0.08% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:26:41 $26.07 -5.10% -5.06% -4.72% -4.26% -7.33% +0.02% -3.41% -0.65% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:25:45 $22.6 +0.07% +5.49% +9.42% +6.19% +4.07% +12.30% -0.44% - WIN
2024-10-23 09:25:07 $22.25 -2.43% -2.29% -3.12% -4.27% -5.84% +0.18% -0.18% -1.12% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:26:13 $22.44 +0.20% -1.94% -1.67% -1.47% -4.72% +0.89% -0.62% +0.27% WIN
2024-10-08 09:27:11 $29.05 -4.34% -3.84% -7.81% -8.92% -10.53% +0.52% -0.03% - LOSS
2024-10-07 09:28:26 $30.79 +0.60% +8.77% +11.20% +16.68% +6.43% +21.34% -1.82% -1.46% WIN
2024-06-04 09:28:39 $28.31 -0.88% -1.24% -1.41% -0.78% -3.25% - -0.53% - LOSS
2024-05-22 09:29:50 $25.39 +3.35% +4.02% +5.24% +8.27% +12.45% +13.43% -0.28% -0.28% WIN
2024-04-29 09:29:14 $25.36 -4.14% -5.88% -5.52% -2.44% -2.41% +0.63% -0.47% -0.12% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:27:36 $24.2 -2.50% - -0.70% +1.57% +2.89% +3.26% -4.79% - LOSS
2024-02-06 09:27:12 $24.92 -2.21% +0.32% -0.53% -1.93% +0.08% +1.04% -3.25% +0.24% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:29:00 $36.42 +3.89% +3.17% +3.82% +3.21% +2.75% +5.35% -0.05% +0.36% WIN
2023-12-22 09:28:00 $34.76 +0.40% +0.36% +0.52% -0.17% +0.69% +1.35% -1.51% -0.23% WIN
2023-12-14 09:25:00 $32.99 +1.06% +0.97% +1.55% -0.11% +0.94% +3.53% -1.49% +0.27% WIN
2023-12-08 09:25:00 $32.3 +0.50% +1.72% +0.68% +2.63% -0.50% +3.22% -0.25% +0.28% WIN
2023-12-05 09:25:00 $33.0 -0.48% -2.30% -1.85% -2.85% -3.64% +0.03% - -0.76% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JKS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.1% win rate, JKS has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making JKS profitable.

🔧 Fix JKS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze JKS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JKS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JKS historically offers an average upside of +4.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JKS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.1%, JKS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.14%) outweigh average wins (+1.64%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JKS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests JKS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.