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JMIA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 97 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-12-09

⚠️ Small sample size (97 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Jumia Technologies AG
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 11, 2019 🔗 www.group.jumia.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.56B 👥 Employees: 2,163
Jumia Technologies AG is the pan-African e-commerce platform. The company's platform consists of a marketplace, which connects sellers with consumers. Its logistics service enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers, and the company's payment service facilitates transactions among participants active on its platform in selected markets. Jumia generates revenue from Sales of goods, Commissions, Fulfillment, Value-added services, and Marketing & Advertising. Its geographical segments are West Africa, North Africa, East & South Africa, Europe, and United Arab Emirates. The firm generates majority of its revenue from the West Africa segment.
📊
97
Total Alerts
🎯
63.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.11%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+6.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -5.25%
Trades: 47/49

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +11.20%
Worst: -16.20%
Trades: 46/48

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.6%
Avg Gain: +1.01%
Avg Winner: +4.20%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +17.36%
Worst: -17.41%
Trades: 53/40

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.9%
Avg Gain: +1.11%
Avg Winner: +4.29%
Avg Loser: -4.53%
Best: +15.15%
Worst: -24.07%
Trades: 62/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.96%
Avg Winner: +7.03%
Avg Loser: -5.20%
Best: +27.37%
Worst: -31.89%
Trades: 48/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.67%
Best MFE: +29.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, JMIA alerts reach +6.67% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.20%
Worst MAE: -7.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 97 alerts, JMIA typically reaches +6.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 97
Gap Up % 38.1%
Avg Gap -0.30%
Best Gap +1.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JMIA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-09 09:28:26 $4.68 +1.28% +5.76% +6.94% +4.27% +8.12% +14.10% -0.32% +0.43% WIN
2024-12-06 09:25:25 $4.84 -3.72% -0.41% -0.00% -3.51% -5.58% +2.89% -4.75% -2.48% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:27:44 $4.4 -0.68% -9.09% -8.86% -8.07% -9.09% +1.14% -0.45% -0.91% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:06 $4.68 -1.27% -1.82% -0.32% +1.28% -2.35% +1.50% -2.55% -1.71% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:29:36 $5.89 -1.44% -3.40% -5.16% -4.24% -4.92% +1.53% -0.34% +0.68% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:26:45 $5.07 +3.98% +6.21% +11.24% +3.06% +1.78% +13.21% -1.38% +0.39% WIN
2024-08-13 09:28:25 $5.2 +1.64% +2.60% +0.77% +1.73% -5.38% +5.38% -2.42% -1.92% WIN
2024-08-07 09:27:13 $5.0 -3.60% -5.20% -2.70% -6.65% -1.80% +2.40% -7.40% -1.40% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:25:43 $7.18 -1.95% -16.20% -17.41% -24.07% -31.89% +0.70% -4.18% -3.90% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:41 $8.97 +5.07% +10.28% +9.81% +8.36% +18.06% +21.70% -0.67% +0.33% WIN
2024-07-25 09:29:30 $12.05 -1.81% +0.50% -1.04% +3.07% +1.99% +5.98% -4.07% -1.33% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:29:22 $14.56 +2.03% -1.22% -4.74% -7.83% -5.22% +3.30% -0.41% -0.41% WIN
2024-07-17 09:29:46 $12.72 +1.26% -0.00% +3.38% +0.79% -2.28% +4.87% -0.71% +1.26% WIN
2024-07-11 09:29:32 $11.85 +0.76% -0.42% +1.01% +2.70% +1.94% +5.15% -2.74% +0.51% WIN
2024-07-10 09:25:27 $10.65 +2.07% +5.07% +8.17% +6.20% +10.33% +13.52% -0.47% - WIN
2024-07-09 09:25:21 $8.93 +2.91% +11.20% +17.36% +15.01% +23.07% +25.53% -0.11% +0.56% WIN
2024-06-14 09:26:11 $9.27 +0.37% +2.05% +1.51% +4.85% +0.22% +5.96% - +1.19% WIN
2024-06-12 09:25:09 $9.39 +0.53% +4.69% +1.60% +1.81% +5.01% +6.82% -0.19% -0.11% WIN
2024-05-07 09:25:25 $6.15 -2.11% +0.65% +7.15% +4.07% +4.88% +13.82% -2.93% -0.33% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:26:24 $6.81 +2.94% +1.76% -0.29% -3.98% +2.20% +8.30% -5.80% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.9% Baseline on JMIA

The 63.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JMIA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JMIA Strategy →

Why Analyze JMIA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JMIA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JMIA historically offers an average upside of +6.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JMIA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.9%, JMIA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JMIA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.