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KBR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-05 → 2023-09-27

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 16, 2006 🔗 www.kbr.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.63B 👥 Employees: 38,000
KBR, formerly Kellogg Brown & Root, is a global provider of technology, integrated engineering, procurement, and construction delivery, and operations and maintenance services. The company's business is organized into two segments: mission technology solutions and sustainable technology solutions. KBR has operations in over 30 countries and employs approximately 34,000 people. The firm generated $7.7 billion in revenue in 2024.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.63%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.34%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +0.27%
Worst: -0.33%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +0.33%
Worst: -0.23%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.80%
Best MFE: +1.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 159 min

On average, KBR alerts reach +0.80% profit potential within 159 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.65%
Worst MAE: -0.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 86 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.24:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, KBR typically reaches +0.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.50%
Best Gap +0.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS

How KBR compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KBR: -0.15% Sector: -0.26% +0.11%
EOD Gain
KBR: +0.08% Sector: +1.27% -1.18%
Avg MFE
KBR: +0.80% Sector: +5.13% -4.33%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KBR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-27 09:28:00 $58.42 +0.56% +0.33% +0.26% +0.33% +1.32% +1.42% -0.15% +0.31% WIN
2023-09-20 09:28:00 $61.5 -0.63% -0.25% -0.33% -0.23% -1.07% +0.31% -0.89% -0.89% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $58.56 -0.38% +0.34% +0.27% - - +0.68% -0.91% -0.91% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on KBR

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KBR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KBR Strategy →

Why Analyze KBR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KBR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KBR historically offers an average upside of +0.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KBR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, KBR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KBR performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.