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Latest signal:

KBWB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-13 → 2023-03-13

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco KBW Bank ETF INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 07, 2016
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-5.28%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-0.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.28%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.28%
Best: -5.28%
Worst: -5.28%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.21%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.21%
Best: -6.21%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.05%
Best: -4.05%
Worst: -4.05%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.78%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.78%
Best: -6.78%
Worst: -6.78%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.84%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.84%
Best: -4.84%
Worst: -4.84%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -0.39%
Best MFE: -0.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, KBWB alerts reach -0.39% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -8.44%
Worst MAE: -8.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 50 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 8.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.05:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, KBWB typically reaches -0.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -3.23%
Best Gap -3.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How KBWB compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KBWB: -5.28% Sector: -0.13% -5.15%
EOD Gain
KBWB: -4.84% Sector: +3.47% -8.32%
Avg MFE
KBWB: -0.39% Sector: +1.91% -2.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KBWB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $43.98 -5.28% -6.21% -4.05% -6.78% -4.84% -0.39% -8.44% -3.23% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KBWB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -5.28% average gain, KBWB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KBWB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze KBWB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KBWB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KBWB historically offers an average upside of -0.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KBWB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, KBWB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KBWB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KBWB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -5.28%). This suggests KBWB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.