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KEYS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-07 → 2024-06-28

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 20, 2014 🔗 www.keysight.com
💰 Market Cap: $36.59B 👥 Employees: 16,800
Keysight Technologies is a leader in the field of testing and measurement, helping electronics OEMs and suppliers alike bring products to market to fit industry standards and specifications. Keysight specializes in the communications market, but also supplies into the government, automotive, industrial, and semiconductor manufacturing markets. Keysight's solutions include testing tools, analytical software, and services. The firm's stated objective is to reduce time to market and improve efficiency at its more than 30,000 customers.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.23%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -3.69%
Trades: 4/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +3.45%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 7/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +3.87%
Worst: -3.44%
Trades: 8/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -3.22%
Trades: 5/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +5.33%
Worst: -4.40%
Trades: 7/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.04%
Best MFE: +5.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 197 min

On average, KEYS alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 197 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -4.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.89:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, KEYS typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 31.2%
Avg Gap -0.57%
Best Gap +0.90%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL

How KEYS compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KEYS: -0.50% Sector: -0.36% -0.14%
EOD Gain
KEYS: -0.14% Sector: +11.32% -11.47%
Avg MFE
KEYS: +1.04% Sector: +4.19% -3.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KEYS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-28 09:25:46 $135.22 +0.58% +1.25% +1.60% +2.12% +1.13% +2.41% +0.30% +0.72% WIN
2024-03-04 09:26:33 $156.5 -0.30% -0.34% +0.07% -0.63% +0.64% +1.28% -0.87% -0.29% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:28:00 $158.53 -0.61% -0.67% -0.59% -0.74% +0.14% +0.39% +0.30% +0.06% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $153.0 +1.05% +1.02% +1.39% +1.98% +3.74% +3.98% +0.33% +0.41% WIN
2023-10-03 09:29:00 $131.76 -0.30% +0.06% +0.05% -0.99% -0.35% +0.29% -0.82% -0.46% LOSS
2023-09-27 09:29:00 $131.0 -0.66% -0.65% -0.59% -0.27% -0.46% +0.23% -0.84% -0.27% LOSS
2023-08-30 09:29:00 $132.99 -0.73% -0.34% -0.18% -0.74% -0.31% +0.28% -1.20% -1.08% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:25:00 $132.01 -3.69% +1.65% +0.55% +0.98% -2.00% +2.91% -4.64% -2.66% LOSS
2023-08-14 09:27:00 $149.1 +2.81% +3.45% +3.87% +3.88% +5.33% +5.51% +0.52% +0.90% WIN
2023-06-20 09:29:00 $164.65 -0.18% -0.29% -0.84% -1.34% -1.26% +0.13% -0.78% -0.35% LOSS
2023-05-17 09:29:00 $161.39 -0.42% -2.32% -2.84% -2.18% -2.31% +0.16% -1.93% -0.88% LOSS
2023-04-25 09:27:00 $148.5 -1.40% -2.26% -2.30% -2.33% -4.40% -1.28% -1.62% -1.28% LOSS
2023-04-05 09:25:00 $162.2 -3.43% -3.60% -3.44% -3.22% -3.85% -2.99% -4.11% -3.52% LOSS
2022-06-14 09:25:00 $133.55 +0.78% +0.12% +0.22% -0.71% +1.21% +1.56% -0.79% +0.65% WIN
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $138.99 -1.02% -0.85% -0.96% -1.40% +0.99% +1.13% -1.75% -0.55% LOSS
2022-02-07 09:25:00 $167.0 -0.39% +0.12% +0.29% +0.40% -0.55% +0.69% -0.86% -0.47% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KEYS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.23% average gain, KEYS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KEYS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze KEYS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KEYS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KEYS historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KEYS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, KEYS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KEYS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KEYS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.23%). This suggests KEYS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.