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KFS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-13 → 2023-06-13

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Kingsway Financial Services, Inc. FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE (SIC 6331)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 06, 1998 🔗 www.kingsway-financial.com
💰 Market Cap: $377.4M 👥 Employees: 433
Kingsway Financial Services Inc through subsidiaries operates in the extended warranty and business services industries in the United States. The company operates through segments namely, Extended Warranty and Kingsway Search Xcelerator. The Extended Warranty segment provides after-market vehicle protection services distributed by credit unions. The firm generates maximum revenue from the Extended Warranty segment in the form of Service fee and commission income.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.35%
Worst: +0.35%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: -0.58%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.77%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: -2.77%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.46%
Best MFE: +0.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, KFS alerts reach +0.46% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.16%
Worst MAE: -1.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.4:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, KFS typically reaches +0.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.35%
Best Gap +0.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How KFS compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KFS: +0.00% Sector: +0.01% -0.01%
EOD Gain
KFS: +0.00% Sector: +58.36% -58.36%
Avg MFE
KFS: +0.00% Sector: +2.97% -2.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KFS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-13 09:25:00 $8.65 +0.35% - -0.58% - -2.77% +0.46% -1.16% +0.35% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on KFS

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KFS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KFS Strategy →

Why Analyze KFS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KFS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KFS historically offers an average upside of +0.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KFS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, KFS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KFS performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.