FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

KHC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 64 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (64 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 06, 2015 🔗 www.kraftheinzcompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.46B 👥 Employees: 36,000
In July 2015, Kraft merged with Heinz to create one of North America's largest food and beverage manufacturers. However, the firm now intends to split its global sauces arm from its North American grocery segment in the second half of 2026. Beyond its namesake brands, its portfolio includes Oscar Mayer, Velveeta, and Philadelphia. While the retail channel drives around 85% of its total sales, the firm also maintains a growing foodservice presence. Outside North America, Kraft Heinz's global reach encompasses a distribution network in Europe and emerging markets, which accounts for nearly 25% of its consolidated sales base. The company's products are sold in more than 190 countries and territories.
📊
64
Total Alerts
🎯
48.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.9%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 23/41

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.4%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +4.77%
Worst: -3.50%
Trades: 22/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.9%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -3.50%
Trades: 23/40

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +4.17%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 27/37

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.07%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 31/33

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.13%
Best MFE: +5.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, KHC alerts reach +1.13% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.63%
Worst MAE: -3.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.79:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 64 alerts, KHC typically reaches +1.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 64
Gap Up % 40.6%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES

How KHC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KHC: -0.08% Sector: -0.06% -0.02%
EOD Gain
KHC: +0.11% Sector: +23.49% -23.38%
Avg MFE
KHC: +1.13% Sector: +1.66% -0.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KHC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:28:47 $28.33 -0.85% -0.26% +0.55% +1.25% +3.25% +3.49% -0.88% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:18 $27.5 +1.78% +2.15% +2.78% +4.09% +4.07% +4.80% -0.91% +0.11% WIN
2024-12-10 09:25:29 $31.62 -0.03% -0.54% -0.82% -0.27% -0.09% +0.92% -0.98% -0.13% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:27:45 $31.64 -0.24% -0.54% -0.74% -0.22% -0.60% +0.28% -0.35% -0.25% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:25:28 $30.92 -0.19% -0.63% -0.27% -0.03% +0.55% +0.74% -0.71% -0.39% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:27:15 $33.85 -1.42% -0.41% -0.63% -0.49% -0.35% +0.15% -1.48% +0.12% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:26:52 $35.85 -0.20% -0.08% -0.03% -0.01% +0.28% +0.31% -0.39% +0.08% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:26:16 $34.7 -0.49% -0.61% -0.33% -0.30% -0.32% -0.04% -0.90% -0.20% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:28:51 $35.12 -0.06% +0.03% +0.08% -0.78% -0.46% +0.71% -0.63% -0.14% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:00 $35.78 +1.43% -0.14% -0.55% -1.55% -1.62% +2.07% +0.53% +0.92% WIN
2024-07-31 09:29:35 $34.63 +0.66% +1.44% +1.21% +2.24% +1.67% +3.00% -0.81% -0.12% WIN
2024-05-01 09:29:56 $37.7 -1.46% -3.50% -3.50% -3.99% -3.77% - -1.27% -1.17% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:25:41 $37.27 -0.48% -0.95% -1.42% -1.56% -0.56% +0.08% -0.63% +0.05% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:25:33 $36.65 +0.23% +0.38% +0.35% +0.68% +0.68% +0.90% -0.08% - WIN
2024-03-19 09:25:08 $34.83 +0.11% +1.00% +0.92% +0.82% +1.26% +1.32% -0.32% +0.06% WIN
2024-03-07 09:26:10 $35.16 -0.20% -0.43% -0.70% -1.00% -1.88% +0.23% -0.26% +0.20% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:27:07 $35.5 +0.39% +0.48% -0.03% -0.32% -0.62% +0.54% +0.17% +0.31% WIN
2024-02-14 09:29:03 $35.0 +0.06% -2.11% -2.30% -2.30% -2.40% +1.46% -0.91% -0.03% WIN
2023-11-17 09:25:00 $33.89 -0.12% -0.65% -1.04% -0.90% -0.68% +0.18% -0.24% +0.03% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:29:00 $31.54 +0.94% +1.85% +2.95% +4.17% +2.09% +4.88% -1.40% -0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.4% Baseline on KHC

The 48.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KHC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KHC Strategy →

Why Analyze KHC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KHC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KHC historically offers an average upside of +1.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KHC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.4%, KHC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KHC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.