Latest signal:
KMB Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-29 → 2024-12-10
⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, KMB alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 118 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.23x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, KMB typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)
How KMB compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical KMB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | 09:28:09 | $132.96 | -0.54% | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.76% | -0.74% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-02 | 09:26:53 | $140.57 | -0.92% | -1.47% | -1.27% | -1.07% | -0.72% | -0.12% | -1.57% | -0.58% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:25:23 | $139.14 | +0.28% | +0.19% | +0.32% | +0.51% | +0.42% | +0.81% | -0.23% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:26:44 | $134.15 | -0.42% | -0.91% | -0.66% | -0.79% | -1.50% | +0.07% | -0.33% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:29:24 | $145.2 | +0.73% | +0.67% | +0.64% | +0.75% | +0.61% | +1.00% | +0.24% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2024-10-07 | 09:26:47 | $140.15 | +1.25% | +1.30% | +1.54% | +0.67% | +0.45% | +1.79% | +0.56% | +1.17% | WIN |
| 2024-09-27 | 09:27:39 | $142.97 | -0.24% | -0.15% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.30% | +0.29% | -0.69% | -0.52% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-20 | 09:25:08 | $140.0 | -0.61% | +0.12% | -0.07% | +0.21% | +0.54% | +0.80% | -0.66% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-30 | 09:26:57 | $143.68 | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.22% | +0.19% | +0.68% | +0.72% | -0.17% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-05-30 | 09:27:26 | $127.9 | +0.44% | +0.63% | +0.76% | +0.91% | +1.38% | +1.86% | +0.20% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:27:00 | $135.21 | +0.72% | +0.87% | +0.81% | +0.97% | +0.53% | +1.09% | +0.72% | +0.98% | WIN |
| 2024-04-23 | 09:28:35 | $138.28 | -0.16% | -1.72% | -1.86% | -1.91% | -1.62% | +1.06% | -0.85% | +0.49% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-29 | 09:28:30 | $121.43 | -0.19% | -0.17% | -0.58% | -0.49% | -0.21% | +0.35% | -0.73% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-28 | 09:28:00 | $120.01 | +0.29% | +0.43% | +0.47% | +0.52% | +0.67% | +0.73% | +0.07% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:28:00 | $123.75 | +0.60% | +0.69% | +0.74% | +0.40% | +0.34% | +0.90% | -0.12% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2023-11-16 | 09:26:00 | $121.5 | +0.25% | +0.06% | +0.45% | +0.93% | +0.17% | +1.18% | -0.07% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2023-10-31 | 09:26:00 | $120.08 | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.40% | -0.90% | -0.37% | +0.25% | -0.38% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-15 | 09:26:00 | $125.83 | -0.19% | +0.77% | +0.50% | +0.25% | -0.65% | +0.79% | -0.34% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-25 | 09:29:00 | $137.0 | -2.34% | -2.16% | -2.49% | -2.53% | -2.98% | +0.02% | -0.59% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-12 | 09:25:00 | $126.75 | +0.05% | +0.61% | +0.54% | +0.48% | +0.13% | +0.81% | -0.11% | +0.07% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ KMB Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 63.0% win rate, KMB has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making KMB profitable.
🔧 Fix KMB Risk/Reward →Why Analyze KMB with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KMB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, KMB historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 KMB Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 63.0%, KMB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.11%) outweigh average wins (+0.61%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: KMB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.03%). This suggests KMB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.