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KNF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-08 → 2023-11-27

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 25, 2023 🔗 www.kniferiver.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.16B 👥 Employees: 4,761
Knife River Holding Co is an aggregates-led construction materials and contracting services provider. Its segments include Pacific, Northwest, Mountain, North Central, South, and Energy Services. Each geographic segment offers a vertically integrated suite of products and services, including aggregates, ready-mix concrete, asphalt, and contracting services, while the Energy Services segment, which has locations throughout the company's geographic footprint, produces and supplies liquid asphalt and related services, for use in asphalt road construction, and is a supplier to some of the other segments.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2.13%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.81%
Worst: -0.22%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: -0.10%
Worst: -0.13%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.65%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.95%
Worst: -0.11%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.13%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: +0.72%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.69%
Best MFE: +3.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 182 min

On average, KNF alerts reach +2.69% profit potential within 182 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.55%
Worst MAE: -0.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, KNF typically reaches +2.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.20%
Best Gap +0.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)

How KNF compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KNF: +0.29% Sector: -0.04% +0.33%
EOD Gain
KNF: +2.13% Sector: +18.85% -16.72%
Avg MFE
KNF: +2.69% Sector: +3.76% -1.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KNF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-27 09:28:00 $58.75 -0.22% -0.10% - +0.95% +3.54% +3.73% -0.75% +0.10% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:29:00 $55.56 +0.81% -0.13% +0.65% -0.11% +0.72% +1.66% -0.36% +0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on KNF

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KNF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KNF Strategy →

Why Analyze KNF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KNF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KNF historically offers an average upside of +2.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KNF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, KNF shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KNF performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.