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KNTK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2024-03-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Kinetik Holdings Inc. NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION (SIC 4922)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 23, 2022 🔗 www.kinetik.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.55B 👥 Employees: 460
Kinetik Holdings Inc is a midstream operator that provides gathering and processing services to gas and oil producers as well as pipeline transportation. In addition to directly operating pipelines, Kinetik also holds ownership stakes in several pipelines. The company operates in two reportable segments which include The Midstream Logistics segment operates under three service offerings, 1) gas gathering and processing, 2) crude oil gathering, stabilization, and storage services, and 3) produced water gathering and disposal. The Pipeline Transportation segment consists of three EMI pipelines originating in the Permian Basin with various access points to the U.S. Gulf Coast, Kinetik NGL Pipelines, and Delaware Link Pipeline.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.07%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.42%
Worst: -0.52%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.72%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -0.08%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -0.13%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.07%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: +0.02%
Trades: 4/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.83%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +2.20%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.42%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.27%
Worst: +0.33%
Trades: 4/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.10%
Best MFE: +4.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, KNTK alerts reach +3.10% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.24%
Worst MAE: -2.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, KNTK typically reaches +3.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +0.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How KNTK compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KNTK: +0.33% Sector: -0.07% +0.40%
EOD Gain
KNTK: +1.42% Sector: -0.01% +1.43%
Avg MFE
KNTK: +3.10% Sector: +1.22% +1.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KNTK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-14 09:26:35 $35.25 +1.42% +1.90% +1.53% +2.20% +1.79% +4.57% -0.17% +0.57% WIN
2023-12-28 09:27:00 $33.59 -0.24% -0.03% +0.63% +0.71% +0.33% +1.28% -0.48% -0.48% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $32.65 -0.52% +1.15% +2.11% +1.01% +1.32% +3.03% -1.32% -0.46% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $60.0 +0.65% -0.13% +0.02% -0.61% +2.27% +3.53% -2.98% -0.37% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on KNTK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KNTK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KNTK Strategy →

Why Analyze KNTK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KNTK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KNTK historically offers an average upside of +3.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KNTK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, KNTK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KNTK performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.