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KNX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-17 → 2024-12-02

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock TRUCKING (NO LOCAL) (SIC 4213)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 25, 1994 🔗 www.knight-swift.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.25B 👥 Employees: 35,300
Knight-Swift Transportation is the largest full-truckload carrier in the US, with a diversified transportation offering. Pro forma for the US Xpress deal, about 82% of revenue derives from Knight's asset-based trucking business, with full truckload (for-hire dry van, refrigerated, and dedicated contract) making up 69% and less than truckload 13%. Truck brokerage and other asset-light logistics services make up 9% of revenue, with intermodal near 6%. Knight's intermodal operations use the Class I railroads for the underlying movement of its shipping containers and include drayage (regional trucking services to and from inland intermodal ramps/terminals). The remainder of revenue reflects services offered to shippers and third-party truckers, including equipment maintenance and leasing.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
72.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.65%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 6/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 72.7%
Avg Gain: +0.65%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 8/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 72.7%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +6.92%
Worst: -2.05%
Trades: 8/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +5.39%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 6/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +1.31%
Avg Winner: +3.22%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -2.25%
Trades: 6/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.58%
Best MFE: +7.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, KNX alerts reach +2.58% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.50%
Worst MAE: -2.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, KNX typically reaches +2.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +1.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)

How KNX compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KNX: +0.14% Sector: +0.17% -0.02%
EOD Gain
KNX: +1.31% Sector: -7.45% +8.75%
Avg MFE
KNX: +2.58% Sector: +2.16% +0.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KNX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-02 09:26:55 $59.01 -0.24% -0.93% -1.23% -1.41% -0.92% +0.59% +0.19% +0.49% LOSS
2024-04-17 09:29:45 $45.79 +2.95% +3.76% +6.92% +5.39% +5.98% +7.80% - +0.49% WIN
2024-04-08 09:29:59 $53.42 -0.11% +0.54% +0.17% -0.37% -0.52% +0.62% -0.22% -0.02% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:26:44 $53.36 -0.30% +0.28% +0.04% -0.54% -0.36% +0.39% -0.62% -0.62% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:29:43 $54.08 -2.21% -2.53% -2.05% -1.27% -0.89% -0.52% -2.75% -1.92% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $56.04 +0.14% +1.39% +1.36% +2.52% +1.73% +3.03% -0.91% -0.07% WIN
2023-10-20 09:25:00 $52.45 -2.14% -2.13% -1.94% -2.57% -2.25% +0.44% -2.71% -0.86% LOSS
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $55.6 +0.45% +0.97% +0.75% +0.82% +0.83% +1.12% +0.30% +0.45% WIN
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $52.88 +0.79% +1.93% +0.89% +0.74% +2.31% +2.55% +0.11% +0.79% WIN
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $43.1 +0.86% +1.88% +1.18% +2.44% +4.41% +7.08% +0.09% +0.81% WIN
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $46.57 +1.40% +1.98% +2.86% +3.20% +4.08% +5.28% +0.97% +1.55% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 72.7% Baseline on KNX

The 72.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KNX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KNX Strategy →

Why Analyze KNX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KNX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KNX historically offers an average upside of +2.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KNX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 72.7%, KNX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KNX performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.