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KOD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-23 → 2023-11-07

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 04, 2018 🔗 www.kodiak.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.58B 👥 Employees: 121
Kodiak Sciences Inc is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in novel therapeutics to treat high-prevalence retinal diseases. The product candidate of the company is BLA, which is a novel antibody biopolymer conjugate, in treatment-naive subjects with neovascular wet AMD. The pipeline products of the company include Tarcocimab tedromer, KSI-501, and KSI-101.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+13.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -4.93%
Best: +4.59%
Worst: -7.16%
Trades: 7/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +6.04%
Avg Loser: -5.50%
Best: +10.78%
Worst: -10.15%
Trades: 6/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +2.73%
Avg Winner: +7.65%
Avg Loser: -5.87%
Best: +15.81%
Worst: -10.00%
Trades: 7/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +5.37%
Avg Winner: +12.50%
Avg Loser: -7.12%
Best: +30.65%
Worst: -10.88%
Trades: 7/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +6.64%
Avg Winner: +17.09%
Avg Loser: -5.90%
Best: +36.13%
Worst: -10.04%
Trades: 6/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.78%
Best MFE: +45.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, KOD alerts reach +13.78% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.70%
Worst MAE: -7.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, KOD typically reaches +13.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How KOD compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KOD: +0.02% Sector: -0.41% +0.43%
EOD Gain
KOD: +6.64% Sector: +1233.50% -1226.87%
Avg MFE
KOD: +13.78% Sector: +6.69% +7.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KOD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-07 09:25:00 $1.94 +3.09% +5.67% +6.96% +8.25% +2.58% +10.31% -2.06% -1.55% WIN
2023-11-06 09:29:00 $2.11 +4.27% +3.55% +9.00% +6.16% -3.32% +11.85% -2.84% -0.47% WIN
2023-11-03 09:29:00 $1.96 +4.59% +10.78% +15.31% +8.67% +20.41% +20.92% +0.04% +2.04% WIN
2023-11-02 09:28:00 $1.55 +3.87% +9.03% +15.81% +30.65% +36.13% +45.81% -0.65% -0.65% WIN
2023-09-07 09:28:00 $2.35 -5.53% -10.00% -10.00% -9.57% -8.09% +1.28% - -1.28% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:27:00 $3.75 -7.16% -1.60% -1.87% +0.40% -3.20% +1.87% -7.73% -0.27% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:28:00 $3.0 -3.34% -4.63% +1.33% +28.33% +31.50% +35.62% -7.83% +1.00% LOSS
2022-08-08 09:25:00 $11.68 -3.68% -10.15% -8.73% -10.88% -4.88% +1.80% -1.54% -1.71% LOSS
2022-03-02 09:25:00 $8.31 +2.79% +2.95% +0.18% -0.72% +6.50% +8.66% -1.44% +2.29% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $8.7 +0.40% +4.25% +4.94% +5.06% +5.40% +9.08% -1.49% +0.69% WIN
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $10.96 +0.87% -1.12% -2.90% -7.30% -10.04% +4.38% -4.11% -0.36% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on KOD

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KOD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KOD Strategy →

Why Analyze KOD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KOD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KOD historically offers an average upside of +13.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KOD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, KOD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KOD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.