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KRMN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-02-14 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 13, 2025 🔗 www.karman-sd.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.32B 👥 Employees: 1,113
Karman Holdings Inc specializes in the upfront design, testing, manufacturing, and sale of mission-critical systems for existing and emerging missile and defense, and space programs. Its integrated payload protection, propulsion, and interstage system solutions are deployed across a wide variety of existing and emerging programs supporting important Department of Defense (DoD) and space sector initiatives. Its engineered solutions are organized into three key families: Payload Protection and Deployment Systems, Aerodynamic Interstage Systems, and Propulsion Systems. The company's solutions are deployed across three growing, core end markets: Hypersonics & Strategic Missile Defense, Missile & Integrated Defense Systems, and Space & Launch.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+5.72%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: -0.15%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.08%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: -2.08%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.54%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: -2.54%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.21%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.21%
Best: -2.21%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.72%
Avg Winner: +5.72%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.72%
Worst: +5.72%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.95%
Best MFE: +5.95%
Avg Time to MFE: 390 min

On average, KRMN alerts reach +5.95% profit potential within 390 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.24%
Worst MAE: -3.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 68 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.84:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, KRMN typically reaches +5.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.73%
Best Gap -0.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC

How KRMN compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KRMN: -0.15% Sector: -0.65% +0.50%
EOD Gain
KRMN: +5.72% Sector: +196.14% -190.42%
Avg MFE
KRMN: +5.95% Sector: +8.43% -2.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KRMN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:34 $30.27 -0.15% -2.08% -2.54% -2.21% +5.72% +5.95% -3.24% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on KRMN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KRMN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KRMN Strategy →

Why Analyze KRMN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KRMN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KRMN historically offers an average upside of +5.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KRMN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, KRMN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KRMN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.72%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.