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KRP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2025-01-23

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 03, 2017 🔗 www.kimbellrp.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.20B 👥 Employees: 28
Kimbell Royalty Partners LP owns and acquires mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties throughout the United States. The company's basins and producing regions include areas of interest in the Permian Basin, Mid-Continent, Terryville/Cotton Valley/Haynesville, Appalachian Basin, Eagle Ford, Bakken/Williston Basin, and DJ Basin/Rockies/Niobrara. Its revenues are derived from royalty payments received from operators based on the sale of oil, natural gas and NGL production, as well as the sale of NGLs that are extracted from natural gas during processing.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.88%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +0.33%
Worst: -2.34%
Trades: 1/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +0.83%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -1.33%
Avg Winner: +0.12%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: -5.44%
Trades: 1/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -2.55%
Best: +1.56%
Worst: -5.85%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.84%
Best MFE: +4.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, KRP alerts reach +1.84% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -1.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, KRP typically reaches +1.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +1.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How KRP compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KRP: -0.69% Sector: -0.16% -0.53%
EOD Gain
KRP: -0.84% Sector: +59.69% -60.53%
Avg MFE
KRP: +1.84% Sector: +2.88% -1.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KRP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:28:49 $16.19 -1.05% -1.73% -1.61% -1.24% -1.30% +1.24% +0.06% +0.12% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:37 $15.49 -0.52% -1.29% -1.37% -0.87% -0.52% +1.23% -0.90% +1.23% LOSS
2023-10-11 09:26:00 $16.09 - +0.31% +0.10% +0.12% +0.93% +1.37% -0.31% - -
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $14.24 -0.56% -0.63% +0.07% -0.18% +0.14% +4.28% -1.54% -0.28% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $17.99 +0.33% +0.83% +1.11% -0.39% +1.56% +2.67% -1.06% +0.28% WIN
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $17.1 -2.34% -0.59% -3.57% -5.44% -5.85% +0.23% -0.58% -0.58% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KRP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.88% average gain, KRP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KRP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze KRP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KRP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KRP historically offers an average upside of +1.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KRP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, KRP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KRP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KRP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.88%). This suggests KRP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.