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KSS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 72 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (72 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 01, 1992 🔗 www.kohls.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.98B 👥 Employees: 87,000
Kohl's operates about 1,150 department stores in 49 states that sell moderately priced private-label and national brand clothing, shoes, accessories, cosmetics, and home furnishings. Most of these stores are in strip centers. Kohl's also has a large digital sales operation. Women's apparel is Kohl's largest category, having generated 25% of its 2024 sales. The retailer, headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin, opened its first department store in 1962.
📊
72
Total Alerts
🎯
54.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.97%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 38/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +7.53%
Worst: -5.60%
Trades: 38/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +8.39%
Worst: -6.55%
Trades: 39/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.36%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +8.20%
Worst: -8.72%
Trades: 32/40

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -2.94%
Best: +11.05%
Worst: -9.61%
Trades: 30/42

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.18%
Best MFE: +12.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, KSS alerts reach +3.18% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.94%
Worst MAE: -4.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 72 alerts, KSS typically reaches +3.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 72
Gap Up % 52.8%
Avg Gap +0.08%
Best Gap +1.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES

How KSS compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KSS: +0.20% Sector: +0.14% +0.06%
EOD Gain
KSS: -0.19% Sector: +0.13% -0.32%
Avg MFE
KSS: +3.18% Sector: +2.84% +0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KSS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:29:18 $11.7 -0.26% -0.17% +0.30% -0.04% -0.68% +0.51% -0.85% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:46 $12.96 +0.04% -0.39% -1.00% -1.70% -1.08% +1.00% -0.77% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:48 $13.15 -0.72% -0.68% -1.14% -1.22% -3.42% +0.65% -0.76% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:29:11 $14.2 +1.13% +2.32% +1.97% +1.20% -1.41% +2.46% +0.56% +0.99% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:58 $13.83 +0.29% +1.30% +0.94% +0.54% +2.46% +3.98% -0.43% - WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:49 $14.06 +0.18% +0.32% +0.77% -0.22% -1.42% +1.28% -0.61% -0.14% WIN
2024-12-12 09:26:15 $14.69 -0.05% -0.68% -1.12% -0.34% -3.68% +0.34% -0.27% +0.07% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:40 $14.82 -1.42% -1.42% -0.47% -1.01% -0.34% +0.14% - -0.47% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:14 $15.6 -0.64% +1.09% +1.15% +0.74% -2.18% +2.12% -1.09% -0.38% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:27:46 $15.07 +2.67% +1.19% +1.19% +3.12% +2.39% +5.15% -0.46% -0.33% WIN
2024-11-29 09:25:09 $14.85 +0.94% +1.68% +0.30% +0.77% +0.81% +2.90% -0.40% +0.40% WIN
2024-11-27 09:25:22 $15.19 -0.46% +3.23% +3.06% +1.78% -2.90% +4.08% -1.25% -0.46% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:28:43 $14.95 -1.31% -0.70% -3.83% -2.59% +1.81% +4.35% -4.88% +1.34% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:21 $17.45 +1.43% +3.18% +3.09% +4.64% +5.10% +7.39% - +0.69% WIN
2024-11-20 09:25:36 $16.85 +0.30% -1.54% -0.98% -1.34% -3.20% +1.42% -1.42% -0.71% WIN
2024-11-11 09:26:58 $17.73 +0.59% +1.30% +0.85% +2.59% +5.41% +5.47% -0.62% +0.34% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:04 $18.93 +0.21% -3.54% -2.75% -3.14% -6.18% +0.58% -1.51% +0.21% WIN
2024-08-29 09:26:51 $19.37 +2.66% +1.86% +1.86% -0.62% +2.06% +3.92% -1.26% -0.03% WIN
2024-08-28 09:29:44 $20.1 -0.30% +0.02% +4.00% +3.28% -2.24% +5.27% -2.14% +0.70% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:25:33 $20.33 +1.92% +3.74% +0.05% +0.27% +3.39% +4.72% -1.48% +1.77% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.2% Baseline on KSS

The 54.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KSS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KSS Strategy →

Why Analyze KSS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KSS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KSS historically offers an average upside of +3.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KSS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.2%, KSS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KSS performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.