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Latest signal:

M Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 191 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-15

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 05, 1992 🔗 www.macysinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.40B 👥 Employees: 94,189
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 450 stores under the Macy's name, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's names, and more than 170 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances constitute about 62% of Macy's sales.
📊
191
Total Alerts
🎯
52.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +4.82%
Worst: -3.52%
Trades: 97/90

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +5.44%
Worst: -5.30%
Trades: 100/90

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +6.07%
Worst: -5.24%
Trades: 99/90

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +7.68%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 91/97

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -2.76%
Best: +13.90%
Worst: -13.21%
Trades: 97/92

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.68%
Best MFE: +14.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, M alerts reach +2.68% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.97%
Worst MAE: -6.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.76:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.76x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 191 alerts, M typically reaches +2.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 191
Gap Up % 47.1%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +3.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES

How M compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
M: +0.06% Sector: +0.14% -0.08%
EOD Gain
M: +0.12% Sector: +0.13% -0.00%
Avg MFE
M: +2.68% Sector: +2.84% -0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical M alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:27:23 $14.32 -1.68% -1.57% -2.37% -4.26% -3.70% +0.07% -0.21% -1.19% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:19 $15.65 -1.37% -4.03% -5.24% -4.70% -6.96% +1.02% -1.60% +1.02% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:28:19 $14.86 +1.62% -0.54% +3.03% +3.97% +11.57% +12.45% -1.55% +0.27% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:21 $17.01 +0.29% +0.35% +0.38% +0.26% -1.70% +1.65% -1.47% +0.65% WIN
2024-11-26 09:26:13 $15.8 +1.46% +1.58% -0.16% - +0.57% +2.44% -0.38% +0.51% WIN
2024-11-25 09:29:40 $16.1 -2.67% -2.45% -2.67% -1.96% -0.99% +0.06% -0.93% +0.06% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:17 $15.3 +2.55% +2.94% +4.35% +4.35% +6.54% +6.93% - +0.07% WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:54 $15.07 -0.07% -1.06% -1.59% -2.16% -3.38% +0.80% -0.46% -0.46% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:59 $15.48 -0.84% -0.32% -1.13% -0.29% -1.36% +1.13% -1.29% -0.71% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:22 $15.51 -1.00% -0.06% -0.06% -0.61% -2.19% +0.84% -1.42% - LOSS
2024-08-21 09:25:24 $16.05 -1.47% -3.55% -4.21% -4.77% -3.74% +0.25% -0.50% -0.87% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:29:17 $16.6 +1.55% +1.75% +1.54% +1.81% +2.29% +2.50% -0.18% +0.30% WIN
2024-07-16 09:27:04 $17.08 -0.79% -1.07% -1.14% -1.58% -1.58% -0.06% -0.18% -0.35% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:28:59 $16.31 +0.92% -0.55% +0.21% +0.34% +3.31% +4.23% -1.47% +0.12% WIN
2024-07-05 09:26:45 $19.28 +0.09% +2.33% +2.18% +3.63% +1.87% +6.17% - +0.41% WIN
2024-05-30 09:26:00 $19.31 +0.21% +0.13% -1.55% -0.65% -0.88% +1.14% - +0.57% WIN
2024-05-21 09:25:37 $19.71 +0.13% -0.61% -3.07% -4.79% +1.88% +2.00% -5.28% -0.56% WIN
2024-04-11 09:27:18 $20.2 +1.19% +0.20% -1.34% -2.87% -1.34% +1.24% -0.15% +0.15% WIN
2024-04-10 09:27:12 $19.39 +0.77% -0.36% +0.08% +1.11% +4.13% +4.23% -0.98% +0.21% WIN
2024-04-05 09:29:20 $18.39 +0.28% +0.22% - +0.49% +1.03% +1.14% -0.22% +0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.4% Baseline on M

The 52.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push M's performance to 75%+.

Optimize M Strategy →

Why Analyze M with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for M. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, M historically offers an average upside of +2.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 M Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.4%, M shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show M performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.